Schulz Laura E, Gopnik Alison
University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Dev Psychol. 2004 Mar;40(2):162-76. doi: 10.1037/0012-1649.40.2.162.
Five studies investigated (a) children's ability to use the dependent and independent probabilities of events to make causal inferences and (b) the interaction between such inferences and domain-specific knowledge. In Experiment 1, preschoolers used patterns of dependence and independence to make accurate causal inferences in the domains of biology and psychology. Experiment 2 replicated the results in the domain of biology with a more complex pattern of conditional dependencies. In Experiment 3, children used evidence about patterns of dependence and independence to craft novel interventions across domains. In Experiments 4 and 5, children's sensitivity to patterns of dependence was pitted against their domain-specific knowledge. Children used conditional probabilities to make accurate causal inferences even when asked to violate domain boundaries.
(a)儿童运用事件的依存概率和独立概率进行因果推断的能力;(b)此类推断与特定领域知识之间的相互作用。在实验1中,学龄前儿童运用依存和独立模式在生物学和心理学领域做出准确的因果推断。实验2在生物学领域以更复杂的条件依存模式重复了该结果。在实验3中,儿童运用关于依存和独立模式的证据在不同领域制定新颖的干预措施。在实验4和实验5中,儿童对依存模式的敏感度与他们的特定领域知识形成对比。即使被要求跨越领域界限,儿童仍运用条件概率做出准确的因果推断。