Mage David T, Donner Maria
Institute for Survey Research, Temple University, 1601 N. Broad Street, Philadelphia, PA 19122-6099, USA.
Med Hypotheses. 2004;62(4):564-7. doi: 10.1016/j.mehy.2003.10.018.
Sudden Infant Death Syndrome is characterized globally by a 50% excess in males per 1000 live births of each gender. We previously hypothesized that this male excess may arise from a single X-linked gene locus with a dominant allele (p = 1/3) that is protective against potentially terminal cerebral anoxia by catalyzing anaerobic oxidation and a recessive allele (q = 2/3) that is unprotective. We now hypothesize this same terminal mechanism for all other causes of infant respiratory death (50% male excess) and that infant cardiac death is equally probable for males and females (0% male excess). With these hypotheses, we model the male excess of all infant mortality (under 5 years) as 25% per 1000 live births of each gender. We show for the USA (1979-2000) that this model of a 25% male excess accurately predicts the male excess mortality under 1 year (24.15%), from 1 to 4 years (25.42%), and under 5 years (24.51%).
全球范围内,婴儿猝死综合征的特征是每1000例各性别的活产儿中男性比例超出50%。我们之前曾假设,这种男性比例过高的情况可能源于一个X连锁基因座,该基因座有一个显性等位基因(p = 1/3),通过催化无氧氧化对潜在的致命性脑缺氧具有保护作用,还有一个隐性等位基因(q = 2/3),不具有保护作用。我们现在假设,对于婴儿呼吸死亡的所有其他原因(男性比例超出50%),存在相同的致死机制,并且婴儿心脏死亡在男性和女性中发生的可能性相同(男性比例无超出)。基于这些假设,我们将所有婴儿死亡率(5岁以下)中男性比例过高的情况建模为每1000例各性别的活产儿中有25%。我们针对美国(1979 - 2000年)的数据表明,这种男性比例超出25%的模型准确预测了1岁以下(24.15%)、1至4岁(25.42%)以及5岁以下(24.51%)的男性超额死亡率。