Vaupel James W, Baudisch Annette, Dölling Martin, Roach Deborah A, Gampe Jutta
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Str. 1 D-18057 Rostock, Germany.
Theor Popul Biol. 2004 Jun;65(4):339-51. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2003.12.003.
Negative senescence is characterized by a decline in mortality with age after reproductive maturity, generally accompanied by an increase in fecundity. Hamilton (1966) ruled out negative senescence: we adumbrate the deficiencies of his model. We review empirical studies of various plants and some kinds of animals that may experience negative senescence and conclude that negative senescence may be widespread, especially in indeterminate-growth species for which size and fertility increase with age. We develop optimization models of life-history strategies that demonstrate that negative senescence is theoretically possible. More generally, our models contribute to understanding of the evolutionary and demographic forces that mold the age-trajectories of mortality, fertility and growth.
负衰老的特征是生殖成熟后死亡率随年龄下降,通常伴随着繁殖力的增加。汉密尔顿(1966年)排除了负衰老的可能性:我们指出了他模型的不足之处。我们回顾了各种可能经历负衰老的植物和某些动物的实证研究,并得出结论,负衰老可能广泛存在,尤其是在那些大小和繁殖力随年龄增长的无限生长物种中。我们开发了生活史策略的优化模型,证明负衰老在理论上是可能的。更普遍地说,我们的模型有助于理解塑造死亡率、繁殖力和生长的年龄轨迹的进化和人口统计学力量。