Horsburgh C Robert
Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02118, USA.
N Engl J Med. 2004 May 13;350(20):2060-7. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa031667.
The prevention of active tuberculosis through the treatment of latent tuberculosis infection is a major element of the national strategy for eliminating tuberculosis in the United States. Targeted treatment for persons who are at the highest risk for reactivation tuberculosis will be needed to achieve this goal. A more precise assessment of the lifetime risk of reactivation tuberculosis, usually estimated at 5 to 10 percent, could help to identify patients who are at the highest risk and motivate them to complete treatment. Currently, the rate of completion of treatment is low.
Published reports were reviewed to obtain estimates of the risk of tuberculosis among persons with a positive tuberculin skin test. Using these data, I constructed a model to estimate the lifetime risk of tuberculosis among persons with specific medical conditions.
The lifetime risk of reactivation tuberculosis is 20 percent or more among most persons with induration of 10 mm or more on a tuberculin skin test and either human immunodeficiency virus infection or evidence of old, healed tuberculosis. The lifetime risk is 10 to 20 percent among persons with recent conversion of a tuberculin skin test and among most persons younger than 35 years of age who are receiving infliximab therapy and have induration of 15 mm or more on a tuberculin skin test. The risk is also 10 to 20 percent among children five years of age or younger who have induration of 10 mm or more on a tuberculin skin test.
Persons with these characteristics should be targeted for intensive efforts to ensure full treatment of latent tuberculosis. Improved rates of completion of treatment among such persons could help to eliminate tuberculosis in the United States.
通过治疗潜伏性结核感染来预防活动性结核病是美国消除结核病国家战略的一个主要要素。要实现这一目标,需要对结核病再激活风险最高的人群进行针对性治疗。更精确地评估结核病再激活的终生风险(通常估计为5%至10%)有助于识别风险最高的患者,并促使他们完成治疗。目前,治疗完成率较低。
查阅已发表的报告,以获取结核菌素皮肤试验呈阳性者患结核病风险的估计值。利用这些数据,我构建了一个模型来估计患有特定疾病的人群患结核病的终生风险。
结核菌素皮肤试验硬结直径为10毫米或更大且伴有人类免疫缺陷病毒感染或陈旧性、已愈合结核病证据的大多数人,结核病再激活的终生风险为20%或更高。结核菌素皮肤试验近期阳转者以及大多数接受英夫利昔单抗治疗且结核菌素皮肤试验硬结直径为15毫米或更大的35岁以下人群,其终生风险为10%至20%。结核菌素皮肤试验硬结直径为10毫米或更大的5岁及以下儿童,其风险也为10%至20%。
应针对具有这些特征的人群大力开展工作,以确保对潜伏性结核进行充分治疗。提高这类人群的治疗完成率有助于在美国消除结核病。