Udekwu Pascal, Kromhout-Schiro Sharon, Vaslef Steven, Baker Christopher, Oller Dale
Department of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA.
J Trauma. 2004 May;56(5):1084-9. doi: 10.1097/01.ta.0000124283.02605.a5.
Preresuscitation Glasgow Coma Scale (P-GCS) score is frequently obtained in injured patients and incorporated into mortality prediction. Data on functional outcome in head injury is sparse. A large group of patients with head injuries was analyzed to assess relationships between P-GCS score, mortality, and functional outcome as measured by the Functional Independence Measure (FIM).
Records for patients with International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision diagnosis codes indicating head injury in a statewide trauma registry between 1994 and 2002 were selected. P-GCS score, mortality, and FIM score at hospital discharge were integrated and analyzed.
Of 138,750 patients, 22,924 patients were used for the mortality study and 7,150 patients for the FIM study. A good correlation exists between P-GCS score and FIM, as determined by rank correlation coefficients, whereas mortality falls steeply between a P-GCS score of 3 and a P-GCS score of 7 followed by a shallow fall. Although P-GCS score is related to mortality in head-injured patients, its relationship is nonlinear, which casts doubt on its use as a continuous measure or an equivalent set of categorical measures incorporated into outcome prediction models. The average FIM scores indicate substantial likelihood of good outcomes in survivors with low P-GCS scores, further complicating the use of the P-GCS score in the prediction of poor outcome at the time of initial patient evaluation.
Although the P-GCS score is related to functional outcome as measured by the FIM score and mortality in head injury, current mortality prediction models may need to be modified to account for the nonlinear relationship between P-GCS score and mortality. The P-GCS score is not a good clinical tool for outcome prediction in individual head-injured patients, given the variability in mortality rates and functional outcomes at all scores.
复苏前格拉斯哥昏迷量表(P-GCS)评分常用于受伤患者,并纳入死亡率预测。关于颅脑损伤功能预后的数据很少。分析了一大组颅脑损伤患者,以评估P-GCS评分、死亡率和功能独立性测量(FIM)所衡量的功能预后之间的关系。
选择1994年至2002年全州创伤登记处中具有国际疾病分类第九版诊断代码表明颅脑损伤的患者记录。整合并分析P-GCS评分、死亡率和出院时的FIM评分。
在138750例患者中,22924例患者用于死亡率研究,7150例患者用于FIM研究。根据等级相关系数确定,P-GCS评分与FIM之间存在良好的相关性,而死亡率在P-GCS评分为3至7时急剧下降,随后下降幅度较小。虽然P-GCS评分与颅脑损伤患者的死亡率相关,但其关系是非线性的,这使其作为连续测量或纳入预后预测模型的一组等效分类测量的用途受到质疑。平均FIM评分表明,P-GCS评分低的幸存者有很大可能获得良好预后,这使得在初始患者评估时使用P-GCS评分预测不良预后变得更加复杂。
虽然P-GCS评分与FIM评分所衡量的功能预后以及颅脑损伤的死亡率相关,但当前的死亡率预测模型可能需要修改,以考虑P-GCS评分与死亡率之间的非线性关系。鉴于所有评分的死亡率和功能预后存在差异,P-GCS评分不是个体颅脑损伤患者预后预测的良好临床工具。