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老年驾驶员特征、道路驾驶测试表现与碰撞责任之间的关联。

Association between older driver characteristics, on-road driving test performance, and crash liability.

作者信息

Keall Michael D, Frith William J

机构信息

Land Transport Safety Authority, Wellington, New Zealand.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2004 Jun;5(2):112-6. doi: 10.1080/15389580490435006.

Abstract

From May 1999, a new system for licensing older drivers was introduced in New Zealand. It included a practical on-road driving test with expanded scope, to be completed every two years from the time the driver turns 80. The relationship between crashes and test performance needed to be studied to inform the debate regarding the testing system. The population studied was all drivers who entered this licensing system during its first three years of operation. They were defined as crash involved if they were involved in an injury crash during the two years following their first licensure under the new system. Logistic regression was used to describe the risk of crash involvement in terms of driving test performance and other driver characteristics. Each driving test failure was associated with a 33% increase in the odds of crash involvement (95% CI 14% to 55%), controlling for age, gender, minor traffic violations, and whether the older driver lived with another licensed driver or not. Minor traffic violations in the two years following the driving test were associated with twice the odds of crash involvement. These results suggest that the new on-road driving test does identify older driver behaviors or limitations that are related to crash liability. It is anticipated that the results presented here will provide essential information for discussing older driver licensing systems, whose impact will grow in importance as the population of drivers ages.

摘要

从1999年5月起,新西兰引入了一项针对老年驾驶员的新驾照许可制度。该制度包括一项范围扩大的实际道路驾驶测试,从驾驶员年满80岁起,每两年进行一次。需要研究事故与测试表现之间的关系,为有关测试系统的辩论提供信息。研究对象是在该许可制度运行的头三年中进入该系统的所有驾驶员。如果他们在根据新系统首次获得驾照后的两年内发生了导致人员受伤的事故,就被定义为涉及事故。逻辑回归用于根据驾驶测试表现和其他驾驶员特征来描述事故参与风险。在控制了年龄、性别、轻微交通违规行为以及老年驾驶员是否与另一位有驾照的驾驶员同住等因素后,每次驾驶测试不及格都与事故参与几率增加33%相关(95%置信区间为14%至55%)。驾驶测试后的两年内的轻微交通违规行为与事故参与几率增加一倍相关。这些结果表明,新的道路驾驶测试确实能够识别出与事故责任相关的老年驾驶员行为或局限性。预计此处呈现的结果将为讨论老年驾驶员许可制度提供重要信息,随着驾驶员群体老龄化,该制度的影响将变得越来越重要。

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