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年轻驾驶员实际路考和危险感知测试及交通事故风险的尝试。

Attempts at the practical on-road driving test and the hazard perception test and the risk of traffic crashes in young drivers.

机构信息

Injury Division, The George Institute for Global Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2011 Oct;12(5):475-82. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2011.591856.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study separately examined the impact of the outcomes of a practical on-road driving test and a hazard perception test on the likelihood of traffic crashes among a cohort of newly licensed young drivers in New South Wales (NSW), Australia.

METHODS

The DRIVE study is a prospective cohort study of drivers aged 17 to 24 years holding their first-year provisional driver license in NSW. Information obtained from 20,822 participants in a detailed baseline questionnaire was linked to information on the number of attempts at a mandatory practical on-road driving test and hazard perception test as well as police-reported traffic crashes.

RESULTS

After controlling for a number of sociodemographic and behavioral factors as well as factors related to driver learning experiences, multivariate analysis showed that those who failed the practical on-road test at least 4 times had an increased risk of involvement in a traffic crash compared to those who passed the test at first attempt (relative risk [RR]: 1.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-2.65). The crash risk among those who failed the practical on-road test at least 4 times was particularly high in females (RR: 2.10, 95% CI: 1.20-3.68). Similarly, those who failed the hazard perception test at least twice had an increased risk of involvement in a traffic crash (RR: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.27-2.63) compared to those who passed the test on the first attempt. The crash risk of those who failed the hazard perception test at least twice was particularly high in males (RR: 2.5, 95% CI: 1.5-4.1) and among those from rural and remote areas (RR: 5.53, 95% CI: 1.63-18.71).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings have implications on licensing practices and suggest the need for adequate strategies to assist young drivers with multiple failures in the driving and hazard perception tests.

摘要

目的

本研究分别考察了实用路考和危险感知测试结果对澳大利亚新南威尔士州(新州)新获得驾照的年轻驾驶员群体发生交通事故的可能性的影响。

方法

DRIVE 研究是一项对新州 17 至 24 岁首次获得临时驾照的驾驶员进行的前瞻性队列研究。通过详细基线问卷收集到的 20822 名参与者的信息与参加强制性实用路考和危险感知测试的次数以及警方报告的交通事故数量的信息进行了关联。

结果

在控制了一些社会人口学和行为因素以及与驾驶员学习经历相关的因素后,多变量分析显示,与首次通过考试的人相比,实用路考至少 4 次未通过的人发生交通事故的风险增加(相对风险 [RR]:1.79,95%置信区间 [CI]:1.20-2.65)。在实用路考至少 4 次未通过的女性中,发生事故的风险尤其高(RR:2.10,95% CI:1.20-3.68)。同样,与首次通过测试的人相比,危险感知测试至少 2 次未通过的人发生交通事故的风险增加(RR:1.83,95% CI:1.27-2.63)。在危险感知测试至少 2 次未通过的男性和农村和偏远地区的人群中,发生事故的风险尤其高(RR:2.5,95% CI:1.5-4.1)和(RR:5.53,95% CI:1.63-18.71)。

结论

这些发现对许可实践具有影响,并表明需要制定适当的策略来帮助在驾驶和危险感知测试中多次失败的年轻驾驶员。

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