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荷兰奶牛场大肠杆菌O157的流行率估计及风险因素

Prevalence estimation and risk factors for Escherichia coli O157 on Dutch dairy farms.

作者信息

Schouten J M, Bouwknegt M, van de Giessen A W, Frankena K, De Jong M C M, Graat E A M

机构信息

Quantitative Veterinary Epidemiology, Wageningen Institute of Animal Sciences, Wageningen University, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2004 Jun 10;64(1):49-61. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2004.03.004.

Abstract

To estimate the prevalence of Escherichia coli O157 on Dutch dairy herds, faecal samples were collected once from 678 randomly selected dairy farms in the period October 1996-December 2000. Samples were cultured for E. coli O157. Thirty-eight isolates were tested for virulence genes (eae, VT1 and VT2). A questionnaire about farm characteristics was taken from the farm manager, resulting in variables that could be analysed to identify and quantify factors associated with presence of E. coli O157. In total, 49 of the 678 herds (7.2%) showed at least one positive pooled sample. E. coli O157 was not isolated from herds sampled in December-April in consecutive years (except for one isolate found in March, 2000). VT- and eae-genes were found in 37 and 38 isolates, respectively. Logistic regression was performed on variables obtained from the questionnaire, comparing E. coli O157-positive herds to negative herds. To account for season, a sine function was included in the logistic regression as an offset variable. In the final model, the presence of at least one pig at the farm (OR = 3.4), purchase of animals within the last 2 years before sampling (OR = 1.9), supply of maize (OR = 0.29) to the cows, and sampling a herd in the year 1999 or 2000 (compared to sampling in 1998; OR = 2.1 and 2.9, respectively) had associations with the presence of E. coli O157.

摘要

为估算荷兰奶牛场中大肠杆菌O157的流行率,于1996年10月至2000年12月期间,从678个随机选取的奶牛场各采集一次粪便样本。对样本进行大肠杆菌O157培养。对38株分离菌进行毒力基因(eae、VT1和VT2)检测。向农场经理发放一份关于农场特征的调查问卷,得出一些变量,可用于分析以确定和量化与大肠杆菌O157存在相关的因素。678个牛群中共有49个(7.2%)显示至少有一个混合样本呈阳性。连续几年在12月至4月采样的牛群中未分离出大肠杆菌O157(2000年3月发现的一株除外)。分别在37株和38株分离菌中发现了VT基因和eae基因。对调查问卷获得的变量进行逻辑回归分析,比较大肠杆菌O157阳性牛群和阴性牛群。为考虑季节因素,在逻辑回归中纳入一个正弦函数作为偏移变量。在最终模型中,农场至少有一头猪(比值比=3.4)、在采样前过去2年内购买动物(比值比=1.9)、给奶牛供应玉米(比值比=0.29)以及在1999年或2000年对牛群进行采样(与1998年采样相比;比值比分别为2.1和2.9)均与大肠杆菌O157的存在有关。

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