Palmer A J, Annemans L, Roze S, Lamotte M, Rodby R A, de Alvaro F
Hospital La Paz, Servicio de Nefrología, Madrid.
Nefrologia. 2004;24(3):231-8.
In the Irbesartan Diabetic Nephropathy Trial (IDNT), treatment with irbesartan demonstrated 23% and 20% reductions in the combined endpoint of doubling of serum creatinine (DSC), end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or death in patients with hypertension, type 2 diabetes and overt nephropathy compared to amlodipine and control respectively. A simulation model was developed to project long-term cost consequences of the IDNT in the Spanish setting.
A Markov model simulated progression from nephropathy to DSC, ESRD and death in patients with hypertension, type 2 diabetes and overt nephropathy. Treatment-specific probabilities were derived from IDNT. Country-specific ESRD-related data were retrieved from published sources. Delay in onset of ESRD, life expectancy and mean lifetime costs were calculated for patients with baseline age 59 years. Future costs were discounted at 6% per annum, and clinical benefits were discounted at 0% and 6% per annum. Extensive sensitivity analyses were performed.
Onset of ESRD was delayed with irbesartan by 1.41 and 1.35 years versus amlodipine and control respectively. When a 25-year (lifetime) horizon was considered, delay in ESRD onset led to anticipated improvements in life expectancy (discounted at 6% shown in brackets) of 0.46 (0.21) years versus amlodipine and 0.75 (0.37) years versus control. Irbesartan was associated with cost savings of 13,673 Euro and 7,632 Euro patient versus amlodipine and control respectively. The results were robust under a wide range of plausible assumptions.
Treating patients with hypertension, type 2 diabetes and overt nephropathy using irbesartan was both cost- and life-saving compared to amlodipine and control in the Spanish setting.
在厄贝沙坦糖尿病肾病试验(IDNT)中,与氨氯地平和对照组相比,厄贝沙坦治疗使高血压、2型糖尿病和显性肾病患者血清肌酐翻倍(DSC)、终末期肾病(ESRD)或死亡的复合终点分别降低了23%和20%。开发了一个模拟模型来预测IDNT在西班牙背景下的长期成本后果。
一个马尔可夫模型模拟了高血压、2型糖尿病和显性肾病患者从肾病进展到DSC、ESRD和死亡的过程。特定治疗的概率来自IDNT。从已发表的资料中检索特定国家与ESRD相关的数据。计算了基线年龄为59岁患者的ESRD发病延迟、预期寿命和平均终身成本。未来成本按每年6%进行贴现,临床效益按每年0%和6%进行贴现。进行了广泛的敏感性分析。
与氨氯地平和对照组相比,厄贝沙坦使ESRD的发病分别延迟了1.41年和1.35年。当考虑25年(终身)的时间范围时,ESRD发病延迟导致预期寿命的改善(括号内为按6%贴现),与氨氯地平相比为0.46(0.21)年,与对照组相比为0.75(0.37)年。与氨氯地平和对照组相比,厄贝沙坦分别使每位患者节省成本13,673欧元和7,632欧元。在各种合理假设下,结果都很稳健。
在西班牙背景下,与氨氯地平和对照组相比,使用厄贝沙坦治疗高血压、2型糖尿病和显性肾病患者既节省成本又能挽救生命。