Palmer Andrew J, Annemans Lieven, Roze Stephane, Lamotte Mark, Rodby Roger A, Cordonnier Daniel J
Center for Outcomes Research, St Johanns-Ring 139, CH-4056 Basel, Switzerland.
Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2003 Oct;18(10):2059-66. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfg232.
In the Irbesartan in Diabetic Nephropathy Trial (IDNT), treatment with irbesartan demonstrated 23 and 20% reductions in the combined endpoint of doubling of serum creatinine (DSC), end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or death in patients with hypertension, type 2 diabetes and overt nephropathy compared with amlodipine and control, respectively. A simulation model was developed to project long-term cost consequences of the IDNT in Belgium and France.
A Markov model simulated progression from nephropathy to DSC, ESRD and death in patients with hypertension, type 2 diabetes and overt nephropathy. Treatment-specific probabilities were derived from IDNT. Country-specific ESRD-related data were retrieved from published sources. Delay in onset of ESRD, life expectancy and mean lifetime costs were calculated for patients with a baseline age of 59 years. Future costs were discounted at 3% per annum (p.a.), and clinical benefits were discounted at 0 and 3% p.a. Extensive sensitivity analyses were performed.
Onset of ESRD was delayed with irbesartan by 1.41 and 1.35 years vs amlodipine and control, respectively. When a 10-year time horizon was considered, delay in ESRD onset led to anticipated improvements in life expectancy of 0.13 years vs amlodipine and 0.26 years vs control. Irbesartan was associated with cost savings of 14 949 and 9205/patient in Belgium, and 20 128 and 13 337 in France, vs amlodipine and control, respectively. The results were robust under a wide range of plausible assumptions.
Treating patients with hypertension, type 2 diabetes and overt nephropathy using irbesartan was both cost- and life-saving compared with amlodipine and control.
在厄贝沙坦治疗糖尿病肾病试验(IDNT)中,与氨氯地平和对照组相比,厄贝沙坦治疗使高血压、2型糖尿病和显性肾病患者血清肌酐翻倍(DSC)、终末期肾病(ESRD)或死亡的复合终点分别降低了23%和20%。开发了一个模拟模型来预测IDNT在比利时和法国的长期成本后果。
一个马尔可夫模型模拟了高血压、2型糖尿病和显性肾病患者从肾病进展到DSC、ESRD和死亡的过程。特定治疗的概率来自IDNT。从已发表的资料中检索各国特定的ESRD相关数据。计算了基线年龄为59岁患者的ESRD发病延迟、预期寿命和平均终身成本。未来成本按每年3%贴现,临床效益按每年0%和3%贴现。进行了广泛的敏感性分析。
与氨氯地平和对照组相比,厄贝沙坦使ESRD的发病分别延迟了1.41年和1.35年。当考虑10年的时间范围时,ESRD发病延迟使预期寿命分别比氨氯地平组提高0.13年,比对照组提高0.26年。与氨氯地平和对照组相比,厄贝沙坦在比利时分别使每位患者节省成本14949欧元和9205欧元,在法国分别节省20128欧元和13337欧元。在各种合理假设下,结果都很稳健。
与氨氯地平和对照组相比,使用厄贝沙坦治疗高血压、2型糖尿病和显性肾病患者既节省成本又能挽救生命。