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非洲的儿童死亡率与艾滋病毒感染:综述

Child mortality and HIV infection in Africa: a review.

作者信息

Newell Marie-Louise, Brahmbhatt Heena, Ghys Peter D

机构信息

Centre for Paediatric Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Child Health, University College London, UK.

出版信息

AIDS. 2004 Jun;18 Suppl 2:S27-34. doi: 10.1097/00002030-200406002-00004.

DOI:10.1097/00002030-200406002-00004
PMID:15319741
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To review the available data relating to child mortality in Africa by the HIV infection status of mothers and children.

RESULTS

Child survival is influenced by the HIV epidemic through several mechanisms. Mother-to-child transmission of HIV ranges from 15 to 45%, with up to 15-20% resulting from breastfeeding. HIV-infected children have high mortality rates. For example, a recent community-based study in Rakai, Uganda, showed 2-year mortality rates of 547, 166 and 128 per thousand among HIV-infected children, HIV-negative children of HIV-positive mothers, and HIV-negative children of HIV-negative women, respectively. Child mortality estimates from community-based cohorts demonstrate that the children of HIV-infected mothers have higher mortality rates than the children of uninfected mothers, and that child mortality is closely linked with maternal health status, but because the proportion of vertically infected children is unknown, the value of these studies is limited. Models that use HIV surveillance data together with a set of assumptions indicate that child mortality caused by HIV/AIDS has increased throughout the 1990s to reach close to 10% by 2002.

CONCLUSION

Both disparate trends in HIV prevalence and varying levels of non-HIV-associated child mortality will ensure very different impacts in different countries. To improve the projections of the overall effect that the HIV epidemic will have on child mortality at the population level in countries with generalized epidemics, reliable age-specific mortality rates in infected and uninfected children are needed.

摘要

目的

根据母亲和儿童的艾滋病毒感染状况,回顾与非洲儿童死亡率相关的现有数据。

结果

艾滋病毒流行通过多种机制影响儿童生存。艾滋病毒母婴传播率在15%至45%之间,其中高达15% - 20%是由母乳喂养导致的。感染艾滋病毒的儿童死亡率很高。例如,乌干达拉凯最近一项基于社区的研究显示,感染艾滋病毒的儿童、艾滋病毒阳性母亲的艾滋病毒阴性儿童以及艾滋病毒阴性母亲的艾滋病毒阴性儿童的2年死亡率分别为每千人547例、166例和128例。基于社区队列的儿童死亡率估计表明,感染艾滋病毒母亲的孩子比未感染母亲的孩子死亡率更高,而且儿童死亡率与母亲健康状况密切相关,但由于垂直感染儿童的比例未知,这些研究的价值有限。利用艾滋病毒监测数据并结合一系列假设的模型表明,艾滋病毒/艾滋病导致的儿童死亡率在整个20世纪90年代不断上升,到2002年接近10%。

结论

艾滋病毒流行率的不同趋势以及非艾滋病毒相关儿童死亡率的不同水平,将确保在不同国家产生非常不同的影响。为了改进对艾滋病毒流行在普遍流行国家对儿童死亡率的总体影响的预测,需要有感染和未感染儿童可靠的年龄别死亡率。

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