Max W, Rice D P, Sung H-Y, Zhang X, Miller L
Institute for Health & Aging, University of California, San Francisco, 3333 California Street, Suite 340, San Francisco, CA 94118, USA.
Tob Control. 2004 Sep;13(3):264-7. doi: 10.1136/tc.2003.006023.
To develop estimates of the direct and indirect costs of smoking for California in 1999.
A prevalence based approach was used to estimate the annual costs of smoking. Econometric models were used to estimate the smoking attributable fraction (SAF) for direct costs (hospitalisations, ambulatory care, prescription drugs, home health care, and nursing home services) and indirect costs due to lost productivity from smoking related illness. The models controlled for socioeconomic factors and other risk behaviours. Epidemiological methods were used to estimate the SAF for indirect costs due to lost productivity from premature deaths. The SAFs were applied to total health care expenditures, days lost, and deaths to obtain smoking attributable total costs.
In 1999, the total costs of smoking in California were 15.9 billion dollars, 475 dollars per resident, and 3331 dollars per smoker. Direct costs were 8.6 billion dollars (54% of the total), indirect costs due to lost productivity from illness were 1.5 billion dollars (10%), and indirect costs due to premature deaths were 5.7 billion dollars (36%). The cost of smoking was 9.4 billion dollars for men and 6.3 billion dollars for women. There were 43,137 deaths attributed to smoking, representing a total of 535,000 years of life lost. The value of life lost per death averaged 132,000 dollars, or 12.4 years.
California smoking related costs are high. The cost methodology presented is useful for other states and nations interested in estimating their costs of smoking. Cost estimates can be used to evaluate the level of cigarette taxes and other policies related to smoking.
估算1999年加利福尼亚州吸烟造成的直接和间接成本。
采用基于患病率的方法估算吸烟的年度成本。计量经济学模型用于估算直接成本(住院治疗、门诊护理、处方药、家庭保健和疗养院服务)的吸烟归因分数(SAF)以及因吸烟相关疾病导致生产力损失的间接成本。这些模型控制了社会经济因素和其他风险行为。采用流行病学方法估算因过早死亡导致生产力损失的间接成本的SAF。将SAF应用于总医疗保健支出、损失天数和死亡人数,以获得吸烟归因总成本。
1999年,加利福尼亚州吸烟的总成本为159亿美元,人均475美元,每位吸烟者3331美元。直接成本为86亿美元(占总成本的54%),因疾病导致生产力损失的间接成本为15亿美元(10%),因过早死亡导致的间接成本为57亿美元(36%)。男性吸烟成本为94亿美元,女性为63亿美元。有43137例死亡归因于吸烟,共计损失53.5万年的生命。每例死亡的生命损失价值平均为13.2万美元,即12.4年。
加利福尼亚州与吸烟相关的成本很高。所提出的成本计算方法对其他有兴趣估算其吸烟成本的州和国家有用。成本估算可用于评估香烟税水平和其他与吸烟相关的政策。