Gopnik Alison, Schulz Laura
Department of Psychology, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Trends Cogn Sci. 2004 Aug;8(8):371-7. doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2004.06.005.
Research suggests that by the age of five, children have extensive causal knowledge, in the form of intuitive theories. The crucial question for developmental cognitive science is how young children are able to learn causal structure from evidence. Recently, researchers in computer science and statistics have developed representations (causal Bayes nets) and learning algorithms to infer causal structure from evidence. Here we explore evidence suggesting that infants and children have the prerequisites for making causal inferences consistent with causal Bayes net learning algorithms. Specifically, we look at infants and children's ability to learn from evidence in the form of conditional probabilities, interventions and combinations of the two.
研究表明,到五岁时,儿童已拥有以直观理论形式存在的广泛因果知识。发展认知科学的关键问题是幼儿如何能够从证据中学习因果结构。最近,计算机科学和统计学领域的研究人员开发了一些表示方法(因果贝叶斯网络)和学习算法,用于从证据中推断因果结构。在此,我们探究相关证据,这些证据表明婴儿和儿童具备做出与因果贝叶斯网络学习算法一致的因果推断的先决条件。具体而言,我们考察婴儿和儿童从条件概率、干预以及二者结合形式的证据中进行学习的能力。