Durley Alison, Shenoy Akhil, Faruque A S G, Suskind Robert, Ahmed Tahmeed
Washington University Medical School, St Louis, MO, USA.
J Trop Pediatr. 2004 Oct;50(5):271-5. doi: 10.1093/tropej/50.5.271.
In the developing world, diarrhoeal disease is a significant cause of childhood morbidity especially amongst severely malnourished children. As a direct result of improved acute-phase management of this group of patients, there has been a 47 per cent reduction in the death rate among severely malnourished children hospitalized at the ICDDR,B in Bangladesh. The change in the risk factors for death among children aged under 5 years presenting with diarrhoea was reassessed. The charts of 366 children under 5 years of age who were hospitalized for diarrhoeal disease in the year 1998 were retrospectively analysed. One hundred and eighty-three of these patients died and 183 of those who survived acted as controls. Univariate analysis found 12 significant risk factors on admission that impacted outcome. Only two factors, female sex and positive blood culture, remained significant in the multivariate analysis with odds ratios (95 per cent CI) of 2.05 (1.1-4.0) and 4.6 (1.7-12.4), respectively. Prior to the change in the protocol involving the management of severely malnourished children, only severe malnutrition and non-breastfeeding were found to be significant predictors of mortality.
在发展中世界,腹泻病是儿童发病的一个重要原因,尤其是在严重营养不良的儿童中。由于对这组患者急性期管理的改善,孟加拉国腹泻疾病研究国际中心(ICDDR,B)收治的严重营养不良儿童的死亡率降低了47%。对5岁以下腹泻儿童死亡风险因素的变化进行了重新评估。对1998年因腹泻病住院的366名5岁以下儿童的病历进行了回顾性分析。其中183名患者死亡,183名存活患者作为对照。单因素分析发现入院时影响结局的12个显著风险因素。在多因素分析中,只有两个因素,即女性性别和血培养阳性,仍然显著,比值比(95%可信区间)分别为2.05(1.1 - 4.0)和4.6(1.7 - 12.4)。在涉及严重营养不良儿童管理的方案改变之前,只有严重营养不良和非母乳喂养被发现是死亡率的显著预测因素。