Tingey David T, Hogsett William E, Lee E Henry, Laurence John A
Western Ecology Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Corvallis, Oregon 97333, USA.
Environ Manage. 2004 Sep;34(3):397-405. doi: 10.1007/s00267-004-0319-z. Epub 2004 Aug 24.
Ambient air quality standards and control strategies are implemented to protect humans and vegetation from adverse effects. We used a process-based tree-growth model (TREGRO) to show that over the past 37 years, changes in O(3) exposure, with accompanying variation in climate, are reflected in changes in the growth of Pinus ponderosa Dougl. ex Laws. in the San Bernardino Mountains near Los Angeles, California, USA. Despite variation in temperature and precipitation over the study period (1963-1999), O(3) exposure consistently reduced simulated tree growth. Simulated growth reductions increased concurrent with increasing O(3) exposure. The maximum growth reduction occurred in 1979. As O(3) exposures decreased during the 1980s and 1990s, effects on growth also decreased. This implies that emission control strategies taken to reduce exposures to attain O(3) standards benefited P. ponderosa growth in the San Bernardino Mountains. This modeling approach provides a powerful tool for solving the difficult problem of evaluating regulatory effectiveness by simulating plant response using long-term climate and air pollution exposure records for a given region.
实施环境空气质量标准和控制策略是为了保护人类和植被免受不利影响。我们使用了一个基于过程的树木生长模型(TREGRO)来表明,在过去37年中,臭氧(O₃)暴露的变化以及伴随的气候差异,反映在美国加利福尼亚州洛杉矶附近圣贝纳迪诺山脉的西黄松(Pinus ponderosa Dougl. ex Laws.)生长变化中。尽管在研究期间(1963 - 1999年)温度和降水量存在变化,但臭氧暴露持续降低了模拟的树木生长。模拟的生长减少随着臭氧暴露的增加而增加。最大生长减少发生在1979年。随着20世纪80年代和90年代臭氧暴露的减少,对生长的影响也减小了。这意味着为达到臭氧标准而采取的减少暴露的排放控制策略有利于圣贝纳迪诺山脉的西黄松生长。这种建模方法为通过使用给定区域的长期气候和空气污染暴露记录模拟植物反应来解决评估监管有效性这一难题提供了一个强大的工具。