Norberg Karen
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
Proc Biol Sci. 2004 Nov 22;271(1555):2403-10. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2004.2857.
If two-parent care has different consequences for the reproductive success of sons and daughters, then natural selection may favour adjustment of the sex ratio at birth according to circumstances that forecast later family structure. In humans, this partnership-status hypothesis predicts fewer sons among extra-pair conceptions, but the rival 'attractiveness' hypothesis predicts more sons among extra-pair conceptions, and the 'fixed-phenotype' hypothesis predicts a constant probability of having a son, regardless of partnership status. In a sample of 86 436 human births pooled from five US population-based surveys, I found 51.5% male births reported by respondents who were living with a spouse or partner before the child's conception or birth, and 49.9% male births reported by respondents who were not (chi(2)=16.77 d.f.=1 p<0.0001). The effect was not explained by paternal bias against daughters, by parental age, education, income, ethnicity or by year of observation, and was larger when comparisons were made between siblings. To my knowledge, this is the first direct evidence for conditional adjustment of the sex ratio at birth in humans, and could explain the recent decline in the sex ratio at birth in some developed countries.
如果双亲照料对儿子和女儿的繁殖成功率有不同影响,那么自然选择可能会根据预测未来家庭结构的情况,倾向于调整出生时的性别比例。在人类中,这种伴侣关系假说预测非配偶生育的子女中儿子较少,但与之竞争的“吸引力”假说预测非配偶生育的子女中儿子较多,而“固定表型”假说预测无论伴侣关系状况如何,生儿子的概率都是恒定的。在一项从美国五项基于人群的调查中汇总的86436例人类出生样本中,我发现,在孩子受孕或出生前与配偶或伴侣生活在一起的受访者报告的男性出生比例为51.5%,而未与配偶或伴侣生活在一起的受访者报告的男性出生比例为49.9%(卡方检验,χ(2)=16.77,自由度=1,p<0.0001)。这种影响无法用父亲对女儿的偏见、父母年龄、教育程度、收入、种族或观察年份来解释,而且在兄弟姐妹之间进行比较时影响更大。据我所知,这是人类出生时性别比例有条件调整的首个直接证据,并且可以解释一些发达国家近期出生性别比例的下降。