Nespoli Angelo, Gianotti Luca, Totis Mauro, Bovo Giorgio, Nespoli Luca, Chiodini Paolo, Brivio Ferdinando
Department of Surgery, University Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy.
Tumori. 2004 Sep-Oct;90(5):485-90. doi: 10.1177/030089160409000508.
Predicting long-term survival and cancer recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer is difficult because of the many factors that may affect the prognosis. This study investigated the prognostic significance of postoperative infections for patient outcome.
From an electronic database we selected 192 patients undergoing elective radical surgery for Dukes' stage B and C colorectal adenocarcinoma. The five-year survival rates were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to evaluate the potential prognostic variables using the Cox proportional hazard model.
Forty-three patients developed deep incisional or organ/space surgical site infections, while the remaining 149 were complication free. The two groups were comparable for baseline, surgical and histopathological characteristics. At univariate analysis, Dukes' stage and infections were negative prognostic factors, while peritumoral infiltration of lymphocytes and eosinophils and fibrotic tissue appeared as protective variables. However, multivariate analysis showed that only Dukes' stage (P = 0.048) and occurrence of postoperative infectious complications (P = 0.011) were independently associated with outcome. In patients with infectious complications, the survival rate was significantly lower than in patients without infections (log-rank = 0.0004).
The present results suggest the importance of evaluating other variables besides tumor stage in the prediction of long-term outcome. In prognostic studies more attention should be paid to postoperative infections.
由于存在多种可能影响预后的因素,预测结直肠癌患者的长期生存和癌症复发具有一定难度。本研究调查了术后感染对患者预后的意义。
我们从一个电子数据库中选取了192例行择期根治性手术的 Dukes B 期和 C 期结直肠腺癌患者。采用 Kaplan-Meier 方法分析五年生存率。使用 Cox 比例风险模型进行单因素和多因素分析,以评估潜在的预后变量。
43例患者发生了深部切口或器官/腔隙手术部位感染,其余149例未发生并发症。两组在基线、手术和组织病理学特征方面具有可比性。单因素分析显示,Dukes 分期和感染是不良预后因素,而肿瘤周围淋巴细胞和嗜酸性粒细胞浸润以及纤维化组织表现为保护变量。然而,多因素分析表明,只有 Dukes 分期(P = 0.048)和术后感染并发症的发生(P = 0.011)与预后独立相关。在发生感染并发症的患者中,生存率显著低于未发生感染的患者(对数秩检验 = 0.0004)。
目前的结果表明,在预测长期预后时,除肿瘤分期外评估其他变量具有重要意义。在预后研究中,应更加关注术后感染。