Kai Michiaki
Department of Health Science, Oita University of Nursing and Health Sciences.
Nihon Igaku Hoshasen Gakkai Zasshi. 2004 Sep;64(7 Suppl):11-5.
The paper on the risk of radiation-related cancer following exposure to diagnostic X-ray, appeared in the issue of Jan 31, 2004 of the Lancet, and described an attributable risk estimate of 3.2% from the current medical exposure among the cancer incidences in Japan. While the fact that Japan is known as a country with the highest level of medical exposure, the quantification of radiation-related cancer risk have made quite an impact on medical society. The risk estimate based on the linear-non-threshold (LNT) dose response that remains unresolved scientifically need further research, but the radiation risk has been a useful tool not only for decision-making by risk-benefit analysis such as justification of medical use of radiation, but also for comparison with other risks. Recent radiation biology suggests that a bystander effect and adaptive response might modify the estimated cancer risk based on the LNT model at low doses. The risk from most diagnostic X-rays may be so small that excess cancer due to radiation can not be statistically detected. However, a diagnosis giving a relatively higher dose such as computer tomography in children should be carefully justified using a risk estimate. Raising awareness of low-dose cancer risk should involve not only understanding the process of risk estimation including data and assumption but also understanding there is indirect evidence for risk of lower level radiation exposure in medical procedures.
一篇关于诊断性X射线照射后辐射相关癌症风险的论文发表于2004年1月31日的《柳叶刀》杂志,该论文描述了日本当前医疗照射在癌症发病率中所占的归因风险估计为3.2%。鉴于日本是医疗照射水平最高的国家这一事实,辐射相关癌症风险的量化对医学界产生了相当大的影响。基于线性无阈(LNT)剂量反应的风险估计在科学上仍未得到解决,需要进一步研究,但辐射风险不仅是通过风险效益分析(如辐射医疗用途的正当性论证)进行决策的有用工具,也是与其他风险进行比较的有用工具。最近的辐射生物学表明,旁观者效应和适应性反应可能会在低剂量情况下改变基于LNT模型估计的癌症风险。大多数诊断性X射线的风险可能非常小,以至于无法通过统计学检测到辐射导致的额外癌症。然而,对于儿童进行计算机断层扫描等给予相对较高剂量的诊断,应使用风险估计进行仔细的正当性论证。提高对低剂量癌症风险的认识不仅应包括理解风险估计的过程,包括数据和假设,还应理解在医疗程序中存在低水平辐射暴露风险的间接证据。