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使用最大似然法和贝叶斯方法对已知的HIV-1 CRF04_cpx传播网络进行系统发育重建。

Phylogenetic reconstruction of a known HIV-1 CRF04_cpx transmission network using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods.

作者信息

Paraskevis Dimitrios, Magiorkinis Emmanouil, Magiorkinis Gkikas, Kiosses Vassilios G, Lemey Philippe, Vandamme Anne-Mieke, Rambaut Andrew, Hatzakis Angelos

机构信息

National Retrovirus Reference Center, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Athens University Medical School, Athens, Greece.

出版信息

J Mol Evol. 2004 Nov;59(5):709-17. doi: 10.1007/s00239-004-2651-6.

Abstract

The CRF04_cpx strains of HIV-1 accounts for approximately 2-10% of the infected population in Greece, across different transmission risk groups. CRF04_cpx was the lineage documented in an HIV-1 transmission network in Thessalonica, northern Greece. Most of the transmissions occurred through unprotected heterosexual contacts between 1989 and 1993. Blood samples were available for six patients, obtained 6-10 years later, except for one patient sampled in 1991. Our objective was to examine whether the transmission history is compatible with the evolutionary tree of the virus, in partial gag, partial env, and partial gag+env. The inferred phylogenetic tree obtained using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods in partial gag+env was much closer to the transmission tree than that using either env or gag separately. Our findings suggest that the epidemiological relationships among patients who have been infected by a common source correspond almost exactly to the evolutionary trees of the virus, given that enough phylogenetic signal is present in the alignment. Moreover, we found evidence that recombination is not the most parsimonious explanation for the phylogenetic incongruence between gag and env. For patients with known infection dates, the estimated dates of the coalescent events obtained using molecular clock calculations based on a newly developed Bayesian method in gag + env were in agreement with the actual infection dates.

摘要

在希腊,不同传播风险群体中,HIV-1的CRF04_cpx毒株约占感染人群的2%-10%。CRF04_cpx是在希腊北部塞萨洛尼基的一个HIV-1传播网络中记录的谱系。大多数传播发生在1989年至1993年期间无保护的异性接触中。除了1991年采样的一名患者外,6-10年后获得了六名患者的血样。我们的目标是在部分gag、部分env和部分gag+env中检查传播历史是否与病毒的进化树相符。在部分gag+env中使用最大似然法和贝叶斯方法得到的推断系统发育树比单独使用env或gag更接近传播树。我们的研究结果表明,鉴于比对中存在足够的系统发育信号,由共同来源感染的患者之间的流行病学关系几乎与病毒的进化树完全一致。此外,我们发现有证据表明,重组并不是gag和env之间系统发育不一致的最简约解释。对于已知感染日期的患者,使用基于新开发的贝叶斯方法在gag+env中进行分子钟计算得到的溯祖事件估计日期与实际感染日期一致。

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