Suppr超能文献

从时间间隔的序列数据中同时估计突变参数、种群历史和谱系。

Estimating mutation parameters, population history and genealogy simultaneously from temporally spaced sequence data.

作者信息

Drummond Alexei J, Nicholls Geoff K, Rodrigo Allen G, Solomon Wiremu

机构信息

School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland 1001, Auckland, New Zealand.

出版信息

Genetics. 2002 Jul;161(3):1307-20. doi: 10.1093/genetics/161.3.1307.

Abstract

Molecular sequences obtained at different sampling times from populations of rapidly evolving pathogens and from ancient subfossil and fossil sources are increasingly available with modern sequencing technology. Here, we present a Bayesian statistical inference approach to the joint estimation of mutation rate and population size that incorporates the uncertainty in the genealogy of such temporally spaced sequences by using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) integration. The Kingman coalescent model is used to describe the time structure of the ancestral tree. We recover information about the unknown true ancestral coalescent tree, population size, and the overall mutation rate from temporally spaced data, that is, from nucleotide sequences gathered at different times, from different individuals, in an evolving haploid population. We briefly discuss the methodological implications and show what can be inferred, in various practically relevant states of prior knowledge. We develop extensions for exponentially growing population size and joint estimation of substitution model parameters. We illustrate some of the important features of this approach on a genealogy of HIV-1 envelope (env) partial sequences.

摘要

借助现代测序技术,越来越容易获得在不同采样时间从快速进化的病原体群体以及古代亚化石和化石来源获得的分子序列。在这里,我们提出一种贝叶斯统计推断方法,用于联合估计突变率和种群大小,该方法通过使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)积分纳入了此类时间间隔序列谱系中的不确定性。金曼合并模型用于描述祖先树的时间结构。我们从时间间隔数据中恢复有关未知真实祖先合并树、种群大小和总体突变率的信息,即从在不断进化的单倍体群体中不同时间、不同个体收集的核苷酸序列中恢复这些信息。我们简要讨论了方法学意义,并展示了在各种实际相关的先验知识状态下可以推断出什么。我们开发了指数增长种群大小的扩展以及替代模型参数的联合估计。我们在HIV-1包膜(env)部分序列的谱系上说明了这种方法的一些重要特征。

相似文献

4
The Evolving Moran Genealogy.
Theor Popul Biol. 2019 Dec;130:94-105. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2019.07.005. Epub 2019 Jul 19.
5
Inferring population history from genealogical trees.
J Math Biol. 2003 Mar;46(3):241-64. doi: 10.1007/s00285-002-0180-8.
6
A continuous method for gene flow.
Genetics. 2013 Jul;194(3):687-96. doi: 10.1534/genetics.113.150904. Epub 2013 May 11.
8
Estimating genealogies from unlinked marker data: a Bayesian approach.
Theor Popul Biol. 2007 Nov;72(3):305-22. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2007.06.004. Epub 2007 Jun 22.
9
Integration within the Felsenstein equation for improved Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in population genetics.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 Feb 20;104(8):2785-90. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0611164104. Epub 2007 Feb 14.

引用本文的文献

3
A global map for introgressed structural variation and selection in humans.
bioRxiv. 2025 Jun 24:2025.06.24.661368. doi: 10.1101/2025.06.24.661368.
4
Global distribution, evolutionary dynamics, and origins of wheat streak mosaic virus.
Front Plant Sci. 2025 Jun 17;16:1611008. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2025.1611008. eCollection 2025.
5
Exploring the evolutionary journey of the lumpy skin disease virus through the phylogenetic and phylo-geo network analysis.
Front Cell Infect Microbiol. 2025 Jun 4;15:1575538. doi: 10.3389/fcimb.2025.1575538. eCollection 2025.
6
Forecasting influenza A pandemic lineage dominance in the United States using relative reproduction rates.
Virus Evol. 2025 May 8;11(1):veaf032. doi: 10.1093/ve/veaf032. eCollection 2025.
7
Molecular Phylogeny of the Subfamily Notodontinae (Lepidoptera: Noctuoidea: Notodontidae).
Insects. 2025 May 15;16(5):526. doi: 10.3390/insects16050526.
8
Accounting for reporting delays in real-time phylodynamic analyses with preferential sampling.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2025 May 6;21(5):e1012970. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012970. eCollection 2025 May.
9
Bayesian phylodynamic inference of population dynamics with dormancy.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 May 6;122(18):e2501394122. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2501394122. Epub 2025 May 2.
10
Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2025 Apr 21;21(4):e1012995. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012995. eCollection 2025 Apr.

本文引用的文献

1
Evolution in Mendelian Populations.
Genetics. 1931 Mar;16(2):97-159. doi: 10.1093/genetics/16.2.97.
2
Rates of evolution in ancient DNA from Adélie penguins.
Science. 2002 Mar 22;295(5563):2270-3. doi: 10.1126/science.1068105.
3
Dynamics of Pleistocene population extinctions in Beringian brown bears.
Science. 2002 Mar 22;295(5563):2267-70. doi: 10.1126/science.1067814.
4
Estimating recombination rates from population genetic data.
Genetics. 2001 Nov;159(3):1299-318. doi: 10.1093/genetics/159.3.1299.
5
PAL: an object-oriented programming library for molecular evolution and phylogenetics.
Bioinformatics. 2001 Jul;17(7):662-3. doi: 10.1093/bioinformatics/17.7.662.
6
The inference of stepwise changes in substitution rates using serial sequence samples.
Mol Biol Evol. 2001 Jul;18(7):1365-71. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a003920.
7
Bayesian phylogenetic inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.
Biometrics. 1999 Mar;55(1):1-12. doi: 10.1111/j.0006-341x.1999.00001.x.
8
Maximum likelihood estimation of a migration matrix and effective population sizes in n subpopulations by using a coalescent approach.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2001 Apr 10;98(8):4563-8. doi: 10.1073/pnas.081068098. Epub 2001 Apr 3.
10
Reconstructing genealogies of serial samples under the assumption of a molecular clock using serial-sample UPGMA.
Mol Biol Evol. 2000 Dec;17(12):1807-15. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a026281.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验