Stouthamer-Loeber Magda, Wei Evelyn, Loeber Rolf, Mastenb Ann S
Western Psychiatric Institute and Clinic, University of Pittsburgh Medical School, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
Dev Psychopathol. 2004 Fall;16(4):897-918.
Many delinquent youth stop offending sometime in late adolescence or early adulthood. However, little is known about individual differences in desistance and which factors promote or inhibit desistance. In the current study, young males in the oldest sample of the Pittsburgh Youth Study were followed from ages 13 to 25. About one-third became persistent serious delinquents between ages 13 and 19. Out of that group, almost 40% desisted in serious offending between ages 20 and 25. Significantly more of the desisters, compared to the persisters in serious delinquency, had been employed or in school. Bivariate analyses demonstrated many predictors of desistance of serious delinquency in early adulthood in the domains of individual, family, and peer factors measured from early adolescence onward. Multiple regression analyses showed that the following promotive factors were associated with desistance: low physical punishment by parents in early adolescence and being employed or in school in early adulthood. The following risk factors were inversely associated with desistance during early adulthood: serious delinquency during late adolescence, hard drug use, gang membership, and positive perception of problem behavior in early adulthood. The article discusses the implications of promotive and risk factors for preventive interventions.
许多青少年犯罪者在青春期后期或成年早期的某个时候会停止犯罪。然而,对于停止犯罪的个体差异以及哪些因素促进或抑制停止犯罪,我们知之甚少。在当前的研究中,匹兹堡青少年研究中年龄最大样本的年轻男性从13岁到25岁被跟踪调查。大约三分之一的人在13岁至19岁之间成为持续的严重犯罪者。在这个群体中,近40%的人在20岁至25岁之间停止了严重犯罪。与严重犯罪的持续者相比,停止犯罪者中受雇或上学的人数明显更多。双变量分析表明,从青春期早期开始测量的个人、家庭和同伴因素领域中,有许多因素可预测成年早期严重犯罪的停止。多元回归分析表明,以下促进因素与停止犯罪有关:青春期早期父母的体罚较少,成年早期受雇或上学。以下风险因素与成年早期的停止犯罪呈负相关:青春期后期的严重犯罪、使用硬性毒品、加入帮派以及成年早期对问题行为的积极认知。本文讨论了促进因素和风险因素对预防干预的影响。