Halpern Benjamin S, Gaines Steven D, Warner Robert R
National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, Santa Barbara, California 93101, USA.
Am Nat. 2005 Jan;165(1):82-94. doi: 10.1086/426672. Epub 2004 Nov 22.
Surprisingly little research has evaluated how habitat size may limit the population size of species that use different habitats at different stages of their lives. Here we develop simple discrete-time models to describe the population dynamics of species that use separate juvenile and adult habitats. Analytic solutions, model simulations, and elasticity and sensitivity analyses show that adult abundance is only limited by the size of the juvenile habitat when both adult habitat size and recruitment are much larger than juvenile habitat size. Juvenile habitat plays a marginally greater role in limiting population size for species with closed populations, where recruitment is proportional to adult abundance, versus open populations. Because adult populations often accumulate pulses of juveniles, adult habitat size can strongly limit population size over a broad range of parameter values, an effect that increases as the longevity of a species increases. Limited empirical research from a range of taxa supports these model predictions, although few studies were designed to actually test the limiting role of juvenile versus adult habitat. Future research must carefully evaluate whether and how processes at the juvenile stage affect adult abundance, and conservation efforts may be able to use this model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness, vis-a-vis increasing adult abundance, of time and money allocated to protecting juvenile habitats.
令人惊讶的是,很少有研究评估栖息地大小如何限制在生命不同阶段使用不同栖息地的物种的种群规模。在此,我们开发了简单的离散时间模型来描述使用不同的幼年和成年栖息地的物种的种群动态。解析解、模型模拟以及弹性和敏感性分析表明,当成年栖息地大小和补充量都远大于幼年栖息地大小时,成年个体数量仅受幼年栖息地大小的限制。对于封闭种群(补充量与成年个体数量成正比)的物种而言,与开放种群相比,幼年栖息地在限制种群规模方面的作用略大。由于成年种群常常积累幼年个体的脉冲,成年栖息地大小在广泛的参数值范围内都能强烈限制种群规模,且这种影响会随着物种寿命的增加而增强。来自一系列分类群的有限实证研究支持了这些模型预测,尽管很少有研究旨在实际检验幼年栖息地与成年栖息地的限制作用。未来的研究必须仔细评估幼年阶段的过程是否以及如何影响成年个体数量,并且保护工作或许能够利用该模型来评估相对于增加成年个体数量而言,分配给保护幼年栖息地的时间和资金的成本效益。