Lindblad Mats, Lagergren Jesper, García Rodríguez Luis A
Department of Surgery, P9: 03, Karolinska University Hospital, SE-171 76 Stockholm, Sweden.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2005 Feb;14(2):444-50. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-04-0467.
Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID) might reduce risks of esophageal and gastric cancer, but previous studies are limited and provide somewhat conflicting results.
We tested these associations in a prospective, nested case-control study based on the General Practitioners Research Database, including over 2 million persons in the United Kingdom between 1994 and 2001. In multivariate analyses we calculated odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Data were stratified by history of upper gastrointestinal (UGI) disorders and recalculated using 2 years lag time on data (i.e., excluding all information 2 years before index date).
Among 4,340,207 person-years of follow-up, we identified 909 patients with esophageal cancer and 1,023 patients with gastric cancer. We randomly selected 10,000 control subjects. Overall analysis suggested that long-term users of nonaspirin NSAIDs were at reduced risks of esophageal (OR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.57-1.18) and gastric cancer (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.44-0.94), whereas long-term aspirin users might be at decreased risk of esophageal cancer (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.53-1.08), but not of gastric cancer (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.82-1.45). All estimates of reduced risk were weakened in the 2 years lag time analysis except the association between nonaspirin NSAIDs long-term users and gastric cancer. Potentially protective effects were suggestive of being more marked among subjects with a history of UGI disorders.
Nonaspirin NSAIDs long-term use was associated with a reduced risk of gastric cancer, whereas no other studied associations could be firmly established. Our results suggest that UGI disorders could distort the associations, although we could not show this with statistical significance. If such bias was to be true, the previously reported inverse associations might, at least partly, be explained by lack of appropriate adjustment for such disorders.
非甾体抗炎药(NSAID)可能会降低食管癌和胃癌的风险,但以往的研究有限且结果存在一定冲突。
我们在一项基于全科医生研究数据库的前瞻性巢式病例对照研究中检验了这些关联,该数据库涵盖了1994年至2001年间英国的200多万人。在多变量分析中,我们计算了比值比(OR)及95%置信区间(95%CI)。数据按上消化道(UGI)疾病史进行分层,并对数据采用2年滞后时间重新计算(即排除索引日期前2年的所有信息)。
在4340207人年的随访中,我们确定了909例食管癌患者和1023例胃癌患者。我们随机选择了10000名对照受试者。总体分析表明,非阿司匹林类NSAID的长期使用者患食管癌(OR,0.82;95%CI,0.57 - 1.18)和胃癌(OR,0.65;95%CI,0.44 - 0.94)的风险降低,而长期服用阿司匹林的使用者患食管癌的风险可能降低(OR,0.76;95%CI,0.53 - 1.08),但患胃癌的风险未降低(OR,1.09;95%CI,0.82 - 1.45)。除了非阿司匹林类NSAID长期使用者与胃癌之间的关联外,在2年滞后时间分析中,所有风险降低的估计值均减弱。潜在的保护作用在有UGI疾病史的受试者中似乎更为明显。
长期使用非阿司匹林类NSAID与胃癌风险降低相关,而其他研究的关联无法得到确切证实。我们的结果表明,UGI疾病可能会扭曲这些关联,尽管我们无法通过统计学显著性证明这一点。如果这种偏差属实,那么先前报道的反向关联可能至少部分是由于对此类疾病缺乏适当调整所致。