Swinkels Jantijn M, Rooijendijk Jolanda G A, Zadoks Ruth N, Hogeveen Henk
Veterinary Practice VEO, Sluisweg 3, 1474 HL Oosthuizen, The Netherlands.
J Dairy Res. 2005 Feb;72(1):75-85. doi: 10.1017/s0022029904000603.
The economic effect of lactational antibiotic treatment of chronic subclinical intramammary infections due to Streptococcus uberis or Streptococcus dysgalactiae was explored by means of partial budgeting. Effects at cow level and herd level were modelled, including prevention of clinical mastitis episodes and the prevention of transmission of infections. Input variables for our deterministic model were derived from literature or based on 2002/2003 dairy prices and farming conditions in The Netherlands. Sensitivity analysis was used to examine the effect of uncertainty around input variables or changes in price estimates. On farms where pathogen transmission was prevented through proper udder health management, 3-d antibiotic treatment during lactation resulted in an average net profit of euro+11.62 over no treatment while 8-d antibiotic treatment had an average negative net result of euro-21.83. Sensitivity analysis showed that profitability depends on the probability of treatment-induced cure, pathogen transmission rates, culling rate, retention pay-off, and costs of antibiotic treatment. Three-day antibiotic treatment of chronic subclinical streptococcal mastitis is economically profitable over a range of input values for cure probabilities, transmission rates and losses due to culling. In contrast, 8-d lactational treatment is only profitable for very valuable animals, on farms where the risk of pathogen transmission is high and/or when the farmer is likely to cull a high percentage of cows with subclinical mastitis. Because bacterial flora, cow characteristics and management differ widely between farms, the economic outcome of lactational treatment of chronic subclinical streptococcal mastitis may be highly farm-dependent.
通过部分预算法探讨了用抗生素治疗乳房链球菌或停乳链球菌引起的慢性亚临床乳房内感染在泌乳期的经济效果。对奶牛个体水平和牛群水平的效果进行了建模,包括预防临床型乳房炎发作以及预防感染传播。我们确定性模型的输入变量来自文献,或基于2002/2003年荷兰的乳制品价格和养殖条件。采用敏感性分析来检验输入变量的不确定性或价格估计变化的影响。在通过适当的乳房健康管理预防病原体传播的农场,泌乳期进行3天抗生素治疗与不治疗相比,平均净利润为+11.62欧元,而8天抗生素治疗平均净结果为-21.83欧元。敏感性分析表明,盈利能力取决于治疗诱导治愈的概率、病原体传播率、淘汰率、留用回报以及抗生素治疗成本。对于一系列治愈概率、传播率和淘汰造成的损失的输入值,对慢性亚临床链球菌性乳房炎进行3天抗生素治疗在经济上是有利可图的。相比之下,8天泌乳期治疗仅对非常有价值的动物有利可图,在病原体传播风险高的农场,以及/或者当养殖者可能淘汰高比例亚临床乳房炎奶牛的农场。由于不同农场之间的细菌菌群、奶牛特征和管理差异很大,慢性亚临床链球菌性乳房炎泌乳期治疗的经济结果可能高度依赖于农场。