Daniels R D, Schubauer-Berigan M K
Division of Surveillance, Hazard Evaluations, and Field Studies (DSHEFS), National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH), 555 Ridge Avenue, R-44, Cincinnati, OH 45213, USA.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry. 2005;113(3):275-89. doi: 10.1093/rpd/nch470. Epub 2005 Mar 15.
A retrospective exposure assessment of 1269 study subjects was completed for use in a multi-site case-control study of the relationship between protracted workplace external radiation exposure and leukaemia mortality. The majority of exposure data result from film badge monitoring programmes at the four US weapons production facilities and a US Naval shipyard. Bias and uncertainty in reported exposures among study facilities and across time were as result of differences in incident photon energy, exposure geometry, dosemeter type and dosimetry methods. These sources of measurement uncertainty were examined by facility and time to derive bias factors (B) for normalising exposures. In conjunction with facility reported results, the bias factors provide a means to estimate the equivalent dose, penetrating to a depth of 10 mm [H(p)(10)] and the equivalent dose to the active bone marrow for use in the epidemiological study. Uncertainty was expressed as the constructed 95% confidence interval (i.e. the 2.5th-97.5th% range) of the estimated parameter. The bias factors indicate that recorded exposures provide a reasonable estimate of H(p)(10) (bias factor near unity) and overestimate equivalent dose to active bone marrow (H(T)) by a factor between 1.2 and 1.7. On average, dosemeter-response uncertainties estimated using Monte Carlo simulation were approximately +/-19 and +/-33% for H(p)(10) and H(T), respectively.
对1269名研究对象进行了回顾性暴露评估,以用于一项关于长期工作场所外部辐射暴露与白血病死亡率之间关系的多中心病例对照研究。大部分暴露数据来自美国四个武器生产设施和一个美国海军造船厂的胶片徽章监测项目。研究设施之间以及不同时间报告的暴露情况存在偏差和不确定性,这是由于入射光子能量、暴露几何形状、剂量计类型和剂量测定方法的差异所致。通过设施和时间对这些测量不确定度来源进行了检查,以得出用于标准化暴露的偏差因子(B)。结合设施报告的结果,偏差因子提供了一种方法,用于估计穿透到10毫米深度的当量剂量[H(p)(10)]以及用于流行病学研究的活性骨髓当量剂量。不确定性表示为估计参数的构建95%置信区间(即第2.5百分位数至第97.5百分位数范围)。偏差因子表明,记录的暴露情况对H(p)(10)提供了合理估计(偏差因子接近1),但对活性骨髓当量剂量(H(T))的估计高估了1.2至1.7倍。平均而言,使用蒙特卡罗模拟估计的剂量计响应不确定度对于H(p)(10)和H(T)分别约为±19%和±33%。