A deterministic model for measles.
作者信息
Cunningham J
出版信息
Z Naturforsch C Biosci. 1979 Aug;34(7-8):647-8. doi: 10.1515/znc-1979-7-829.
PMID:158902
Abstract
A deterministic model of recurrent epidemics is constructed using a non linear relationship between infection rate and number of contacts. Epidemic waves which are not damped are predicted and a relationship between community size and the period of recurrence is established. A possible explanation of measles outbreaks is suggested.
摘要
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