Serratos-Hernández José-Antonio, Islas-Gutiérrez Fabián, Buendía-Rodríguez Enrique, Berthaud Julien
Campo Experimental Valle de Mexico, Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Mexico.
Environ Biosafety Res. 2004 Jul-Sep;3(3):149-57. doi: 10.1051/ebr:2004013.
Maize diversity is widespread in Mexico and it has been stewarded by campesinos in small communities until the present. With the arrival of transgenic maize, the objective of this study is to analyze possible scenarios that could result if genetically modified maize were not regulated and openly available in Mexico. By applying a simple logistic model based on the conditions of maize production in Mexico, the dispersion of transgenic maize in different situations within fields of farmers is described. In traditional open systems of freely exchanged seed within communities it is concluded that the most likely outcome of GM maize release is the incorporation of transgenes in the genome of Mexican germplasm and possibly in that of teosinte.
玉米多样性在墨西哥广泛存在，并且一直由小社区的农民管理至今。随着转基因玉米的到来，本研究的目的是分析如果转基因玉米在墨西哥不受监管且可公开获取可能产生的情景。通过应用一个基于墨西哥玉米生产条件的简单逻辑模型，描述了转基因玉米在农民田间不同情况下的扩散情况。在社区内种子自由交换的传统开放系统中，得出的结论是，释放转基因玉米最可能的结果是转基因整合到墨西哥种质基因组中，甚至可能整合到大刍草的基因组中。
