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2030年养活50亿大米消费者需要付出什么。

What it will take to feed 5.0 billion rice consumers in 2030.

作者信息

Khush Gurdev S

机构信息

International Rice Research Institute, Metro Manila, Philippines.

出版信息

Plant Mol Biol. 2005 Sep;59(1):1-6. doi: 10.1007/s11103-005-2159-5.

Abstract

Major advances have occurred in rice production due to adoption of green revolution technology. Between 1966 and 2000, the population of densely populated low income countries grew by 90% but rice production increased by 130% from 257 million tons in 1966 to 600 million tons in 2000. However, the population of rice consuming countries continues to grow and it is estimated that we will have to produce 40 more rice in 2030. This increased demand will have to be met from less land, with less water, less labor and fewer chemicals. To meet the challenge of producing more rice from suitable lands we need rice varieties with higher yield potential and greater yield stability. Various strategies for increasing the rice yield potential being employed include: (1) conventional hybridization and selection procedures, (2) ideotype breeding, (3) hybrid breeding, (4) wide hybridization and (5) genetic engineering. Various conventional and biotechnology approach are being employed to develop durable resistance to diseases and insect and for tolerance to abiotic stresses. The availability of the rice genome sequence will now permit identification of the function of each of 60,000 rice genes through functional genomics. Once the function of a gene is identified, it will be possible to develop new rice varieties by introduction of the gene through traditional breeding in combination with marker aided selection or direct engineering of genes into rice varieties.

摘要

由于采用了绿色革命技术,水稻生产取得了重大进展。1966年至2000年间,人口密集的低收入国家人口增长了90%,但水稻产量增长了130%,从1966年的2.57亿吨增至2000年的6亿吨。然而,水稻消费国的人口仍在增长,据估计,到2030年我们还需多生产40%的水稻。这种增长的需求必须在更少的土地、更少的水、更少的劳动力和更少的化学品投入的情况下得到满足。为应对在适宜土地上生产更多水稻的挑战,我们需要具有更高产量潜力和更高产量稳定性的水稻品种。目前正在采用的提高水稻产量潜力的各种策略包括:(1)传统杂交和选择程序;(2)理想株型育种;(3)杂交育种;(4)远缘杂交;(5)基因工程。人们正在采用各种传统方法和生物技术方法来培育对病虫害的持久抗性以及对非生物胁迫的耐受性。水稻基因组序列的可得性现在将使我们能够通过功能基因组学鉴定6万个水稻基因中每个基因的功能。一旦确定了一个基因的功能,就有可能通过传统育种结合标记辅助选择引入该基因或直接将基因导入水稻品种来培育新的水稻品种。

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