Hasselblad V, Eddy D M, Kotchmar D J
Center for Health Policy Research and Education, Duke University, Durham, NC 27706.
J Air Waste Manage Assoc. 1992 May;42(5):662-71. doi: 10.1080/10473289.1992.10467018.
The use of meta-analysis is becoming more common in the medical literature, but it is not common in the environmental literature. Although meta-analysis cannot combine a group of poorly executed, conflicting studies to get an unequivocal answer, there are certain situations where it can be helpful. The inability of studies to produce similar results may be a function of the power of the studies rather than a reflection of their quality. The literature on the effects of nitrogen dioxide on the odds of respiratory illness in children is such an example. Three quantitative methods for the synthesis of this evidence are presented. Although the methods produce slightly different results, the conclusion from all three methods is that the increase in the odds of respiratory illness in children exposed to a long-term increase of 30 micrograms/m3 (comparable to the increase resulting from exposure to a gas stove) is about 20 percent. This estimated increase is not sensitive to the method of analysis.
荟萃分析在医学文献中的应用越来越普遍,但在环境文献中并不常见。虽然荟萃分析不能将一组执行不佳、相互矛盾的研究结合起来以获得明确的答案,但在某些情况下它可能会有所帮助。研究无法产生相似结果可能是研究效能的作用,而非其质量的反映。关于二氧化氮对儿童呼吸道疾病患病几率影响的文献就是这样一个例子。本文介绍了三种综合此证据的定量方法。尽管这些方法产生的结果略有不同,但所有三种方法得出的结论都是,长期接触二氧化氮浓度每立方米增加30微克(相当于接触燃气灶具导致的增加量)的儿童,其呼吸道疾病患病几率增加约20%。这一估计的增加幅度对分析方法不敏感。