Roy Amit, Ette Ene I
Strategic Modeling and Simulation, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ 08543, USA.
AAPS J. 2005 Oct 5;7(2):E408-20. doi: 10.1208/aapsj070241.
The publication of a seminal article on nonlinear mixed-effect modeling led to a revolution in pharmacokinetics (PKs) with the introduction of the population approach. Since then, interest in obtaining accurate and precise estimates of population PK parameters has led to work on population PK study design that extended previous work on optimal sampling designs for individual PK parameter estimation. The issues and developments in the design of population PK studies are reviewed as a prelude to investigating, via simulation, the performance of 2 approaches (population Fisher information matrix D-optimal design and informative block [profile] randomized [IBR] design) for designing population PK studies. The results of our simulation study indicate that the designs based on the 2 approaches yielded efficient parameter estimates. The designs based on the 2 approaches performed similarly, and in some cases designs based on the IBR approach were slightly better. The ease with which the IBR designs can be generated makes them preferable in drug development, where pragmatism and time are of great consideration. We, therefore, refer to the IBR designs as pragmatic designs. Pragmatic designs that achieve high efficiency in the estimation parameters should be used in the design of population PK studies, and simulation should be used to determine the efficiency of the designs.
一篇关于非线性混合效应建模的开创性文章的发表,随着群体方法的引入,引发了药代动力学(PK)的一场革命。从那时起,对获得群体PK参数的准确和精确估计的兴趣促使人们开展群体PK研究设计工作,这扩展了先前关于个体PK参数估计的最优抽样设计的工作。本文回顾了群体PK研究设计中的问题和进展,作为通过模拟研究两种群体PK研究设计方法(群体Fisher信息矩阵D - 最优设计和信息性区组[轮廓]随机化[IBR]设计)性能的前奏。我们的模拟研究结果表明,基于这两种方法的设计产生了有效的参数估计。基于这两种方法的设计表现相似,在某些情况下,基于IBR方法的设计略胜一筹。IBR设计生成的简便性使其在药物开发中更具优势,因为在药物开发中务实性和时间是非常重要的考虑因素。因此,我们将IBR设计称为务实设计。在群体PK研究设计中应使用在参数估计方面具有高效率的务实设计,并且应使用模拟来确定设计的效率。