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解读近期报告的同性恋人群淋病感染率上升这一现象所面临的一个理论问题。

A theoretical problem of interpreting the recently reported increase in homosexual gonorrhoea.

作者信息

Whitaker L, Renton A M

机构信息

Academic Department of Public Health, St Mary's Hospital Medical School, London, England.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 1992 Mar;8(2):187-91. doi: 10.1007/BF00144798.

Abstract

There has been considerable interest recently in using the occurrence of gonorrhoea infection as an indicator of sexual behaviour relevant to the transmission of human immunodeficiency virus. Mathematical models of gonorrhoea transmission can predict increasing incidence with decreasing sexual activity in the population, due to a resultant concentration of sexual activity in an active 'core' group. Increases in the incidence of gonorrhoea reported recently should therefore be interpreted with caution.

摘要

最近,人们对利用淋病感染的发生情况作为与人类免疫缺陷病毒传播相关的性行为指标产生了浓厚兴趣。淋病传播的数学模型可以预测,由于性活动在一个活跃的“核心”群体中集中,随着人群中性活动的减少,淋病发病率会上升。因此,对于最近报告的淋病发病率上升情况应谨慎解读。

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