Kilbourne Edwin D
New York Medical College, Valhalla, New York, USA.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2006 Jan;12(1):9-14. doi: 10.3201/eid1201.051254.
Three worldwide (pandemic) outbreaks of influenza occurred in the 20th century: in 1918, 1957, and 1968. The latter 2 were in the era of modern virology and most thoroughly characterized. All 3 have been informally identified by their presumed sites of origin as Spanish, Asian, and Hong Kong influenza, respectively. They are now known to represent 3 different antigenic subtypes of influenza A virus: H1N1, H2N2, and H3N2, respectively. Not classified as true pandemics are 3 notable epidemics: a pseudopandemic in 1947 with low death rates, an epidemic in 1977 that was a pandemic in children, and an abortive epidemic of swine influenza in 1976 that was feared to have pandemic potential. Major influenza epidemics show no predictable periodicity or pattern, and all differ from one another. Evidence suggests that true pandemics with changes in hemagglutinin subtypes arise from genetic reassortment with animal influenza A viruses.
20世纪发生了三次全球(大流行)性流感疫情:分别在1918年、1957年和1968年。后两次处于现代病毒学时代,得到了最全面的特征描述。这三次疫情分别根据其推测的起源地被非正式地认定为西班牙流感、亚洲流感和香港流感。现在已知它们分别代表甲型流感病毒的三种不同抗原亚型:H1N1、H2N2和H3N2。有三次显著的疫情未被归类为真正的大流行:1947年的一次伪大流行,死亡率较低;1977年的一次疫情,在儿童中呈大流行态势;1976年一次流产的猪流感疫情,当时人们担心它有大流行的潜力。重大流感疫情没有可预测的周期性或模式,而且彼此各不相同。有证据表明,血凝素亚型发生变化的真正大流行是由与甲型动物流感病毒的基因重配引起的。