Leiserowitz Anthony A
Decision Research, Eugene, OR 97401, USA.
Risk Anal. 2005 Dec;25(6):1433-42. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00690.x.
Public risk perceptions can fundamentally compel or constrain political, economic, and social action to address particular risks. Public support or opposition to climate policies (e.g., treaties, regulations, taxes, subsidies) will be greatly influenced by public perceptions of the risks and dangers posed by global climate change. This article describes results from a national study (2003) that examined the risk perceptions and connotative meanings of global warming in the American mind and found that Americans perceived climate change as a moderate risk that will predominantly impact geographically and temporally distant people and places. This research also identified several distinct interpretive communities, including naysayers and alarmists, with widely divergent perceptions of climate change risks. Thus, "dangerous" climate change is a concept contested not only among scientists and policymakers, but among the American public as well.
公众的风险认知能够从根本上推动或限制针对特定风险采取的政治、经济和社会行动。公众对气候政策(如条约、法规、税收、补贴)的支持或反对,将在很大程度上受到公众对全球气候变化所带来风险和危险认知的影响。本文介绍了一项全国性研究(2003年)的结果,该研究考察了美国人心中对全球变暖的风险认知和隐含意义,发现美国人将气候变化视为一种适度风险,这种风险主要影响地理位置和时间上遥远的人群和地区。这项研究还识别出了几个不同的解释群体,包括持反对意见者和危言耸听者,他们对气候变化风险的认知大相径庭。因此,“危险的”气候变化不仅是科学家和政策制定者之间存在争议的概念,在美国公众中也是如此。