Barbraud Christophe, Weimerskirch Henri
Centre d'Etudes Biologiques de Chizé, Unité Propre de Recherche 1934 du Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, 79360 Villiers en Bois, France.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Apr 18;103(16):6248-51. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0510397103. Epub 2006 Apr 6.
In the northern hemisphere, there is compelling evidence for climate-related advances of spring events, but no such long-term biological time series exist for the southern hemisphere. We have studied a unique data set of dates of first arrival and laying of first eggs over a 55-year period for the entire community of Antarctic seabirds in East Antarctica. The records over this long period show a general unexpected tendency toward later arrival and laying, an inverse trend to those observed in the northern hemisphere. Overall, species now arrive at their colonies 9.1 days later, on average, and lay eggs an average of 2.1 days later than in the early 1950s. Furthermore, these delays are linked to a decrease in sea ice extent that has occurred in eastern Antarctica, which underlies the contrasted effects of global climate change on species in Antarctica.
在北半球,有确凿证据表明与气候相关的春季事件提前,但南半球不存在此类长期生物时间序列。我们研究了一个独特的数据集,该数据集记录了东南极整个南极海鸟群落55年间首次到达和首次产卵的日期。这一长期记录显示出总体上出乎意料的趋势,即到达和产卵时间推迟,这与在北半球观察到的趋势相反。总体而言,与20世纪50年代初相比,现在物种到达其繁殖地的平均时间晚了9.1天,产卵时间平均晚了2.1天。此外,这些延迟与东南极海冰范围的减少有关,这是全球气候变化对南极物种产生不同影响的基础。