Chen Linping, Verrall Kenneth, Tong Shilu
School of Public Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
Int J Environ Health Res. 2006 Jun;16(3):181-91. doi: 10.1080/09603120600641334.
To examine the impact of bushfire smoke on hospital admission rates for respiratory disease, a time series study was conducted in Brisbane, Australia. Data on particles of 10 microns or less in aerodynamic diameter (PM10) per cubic metre, bushfire events, meteorological conditions, and daily respiratory hospital admissions were obtained for the period of 1 July 1997 to 31 December 2000. A generalized linear model with the negative binomial distribution was used to estimate the effects of bushfire smoke on respiratory hospital admissions. The results of this study show that daily respiratory hospital admission rates consistently increased with increasing levels of PM10 for both bushfire and non-bushfire periods. This relationship appeared stronger during bushfire periods than non-bushfire periods, especially for the current day. The findings suggest that bushfire smoke was statistically significantly associated with an increased risk of respiratory hospital admissions in Brisbane (p < 0.05). The health impact assessment needs to be considered in the control and management of bushfires.
为研究丛林大火烟雾对呼吸系统疾病住院率的影响,在澳大利亚布里斯班进行了一项时间序列研究。获取了1997年7月1日至2000年12月31日期间每立方米空气动力学直径小于或等于10微米的颗粒物(PM10)数据、丛林大火事件、气象条件以及每日呼吸系统疾病住院数据。采用负二项分布的广义线性模型来估计丛林大火烟雾对呼吸系统疾病住院的影响。该研究结果表明,在丛林大火期间和非丛林大火期间,每日呼吸系统疾病住院率均随PM10水平的升高而持续增加。这种关系在丛林大火期间比非丛林大火期间更为明显,尤其是在当前日期。研究结果表明,在布里斯班,丛林大火烟雾与呼吸系统疾病住院风险增加在统计学上具有显著相关性(p < 0.05)。在丛林大火的控制和管理中需要考虑健康影响评估。