Douglas A S, al-Sayer H, Rawles J M, Allan T M
Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Aberdeen, UK.
Lancet. 1991 Jun 8;337(8754):1393-7. doi: 10.1016/0140-6736(91)93069-l.
To compare the seasonal variation in total mortality and deaths from cardiovascular, respiratory, and malignant disease, data were collected from North-East Scotland (Grampian region) and Kuwait. Seasonal differences were similar, in both timing and degree, for total mortality and deaths from circulatory disease, but were greater in Kuwait for respiratory disease. Peak mortality was during winter in both areas: in Grampian, when the climate is most uncomfortable, and in Kuwait, when the climate is at its most comfortable. Socioeconomic changes in Kuwait have been accompanied by a rapid fall in the degree of seasonality (deseasonality) for both total and infant mortality. These findings suggest that mortality peaks in winter, not because of a seasonally low temperature, but because of a seasonal fall in mean temperature irrespective of the annual mean temperature.
为比较总死亡率以及心血管疾病、呼吸系统疾病和恶性疾病死亡人数的季节性变化,研究人员收集了苏格兰东北部(格兰扁地区)和科威特的数据。总死亡率和循环系统疾病死亡人数的季节性差异在时间和程度上相似,但科威特呼吸系统疾病的季节性差异更大。两个地区的死亡率高峰均出现在冬季:在格兰扁地区是气候最不适宜的时候,而在科威特则是气候最宜人的时候。科威特的社会经济变化伴随着总死亡率和婴儿死亡率季节性程度的迅速下降(去季节性)。这些发现表明,冬季死亡率达到峰值,并非因为季节性低温,而是因为平均温度的季节性下降,与年平均温度无关。