Estenssoro Elisa, Reina Rosa, Canales Héctor S, Saenz María Gabriela, Gonzalez Francisco E, Aprea María M, Laffaire Enrique, Gola Victor, Dubin Arnaldo
Servicio de Terapia Intensiva, Hospital Interzonal General San Martín, La Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Crit Care. 2006;10(3):R89. doi: 10.1186/cc4941. Epub 2006 Jun 19.
Our goal was to describe the epidemiology, clinical profiles, outcomes, and factors that might predict progression of critically ill patients to chronically critically ill (CCI) patients, a still poorly characterized subgroup.
We prospectively studied all patients admitted to a university-affiliated hospital intensive care unit (ICU) between 1 July 2002 and 30 June 2005. On admission, we recorded epidemiological data, the presence of organ failure (multiorgan dysfunction syndrome (MODS)), underlying diseases (McCabe score), acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and shock. Daily, we recorded MODS, ARDS, shock, mechanical ventilation use, lengths of ICU and hospital stay (LOS), and outcome. CCI patients were defined as those having a tracheotomy placed for continued ventilation. Clinical complications and time to tracheal decannulation were registered. Predictors of progression to CCI were identified by logistic regression.
Ninety-five patients (12%) fulfilled the CCI definition and, compared with the remaining 690 patients, these CCI patients were sicker (APACHE II, 21 +/- 7 versus 18 +/- 9 for non-CCI patients, p = 0.005); had more organ dysfunctions (SOFA 7 +/- 3 versus 6 +/- 4, p < 0.003); received more interventions (TISS 32 +/- 10 versus 26 +/- 8, p < 0.0001); and had less underlying diseases and had undergone emergency surgery more frequently (43 versus 24%, p = 0.001). ARDS and shock were present in 84% and 83% of CCI patients, respectively, versus 44% and 48% in the other patients (p < 0.0001 for both). CCI patients had higher expected mortality (38% versus 32%, p = 0.003), but observed mortality was similar (32% versus 35%, p = 0.59). Independent predictors of progression to CCI were ARDS on admission, APACHE II and McCabe scores (odds ratio (OR) 2.26, p < 0.001; OR 1.03, p < 0.01; and OR 0.34, p < 0.0001, respectively). Lengths of mechanical ventilation, ICU and hospital stay were 33 (24 to 50), 39 (29 to 55) and 55 (37 to 84) days, respectively. Tracheal decannulation was achieved at 40 +/- 19 days.
CCI patients were a severely ill population, in which ARDS, shock, and MODS were frequent on admission, and who suffered recurrent complications during their stay. However, their prognosis was equivalent to that of the other ICU patients. ARDS, APACHE II and McCabe scores were independent predictors of evolution to chronicity.
我们的目标是描述危重症患者进展为慢性危重症(CCI)患者这一特征仍不明确的亚组人群的流行病学、临床特征、预后及可能预测其进展的因素。
我们对2002年7月1日至2005年6月30日期间入住一所大学附属医院重症监护病房(ICU)的所有患者进行了前瞻性研究。入院时,我们记录了流行病学数据、器官功能衰竭(多器官功能障碍综合征(MODS))的存在情况、基础疾病(麦凯布评分)、急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)和休克。每天,我们记录MODS、ARDS、休克、机械通气使用情况、ICU住院时间和住院时间(LOS)以及预后。CCI患者定义为因持续通气而行气管切开术的患者。记录临床并发症及气管拔管时间。通过逻辑回归确定进展为CCI的预测因素。
95例患者(1 / 2%)符合CCI定义,与其余690例患者相比,这些CCI患者病情更重(急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II):非CCI患者为18±9,CCI患者为21±7,p = 0.005);器官功能障碍更多(序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA):非CCI患者为6±4,CCI患者为 /±3,p < 0.003);接受的干预更多(治疗干预评分系统(TISS):非CCI患者为26±8,CCI患者为32±10,p < 0.0001);基础疾病更少且急诊手术更频繁(43%对24%,p = 0.001)。CCI患者中分别有84%和83%存在ARDS和休克,而其他患者中分别为44%和48%(两者p < 0.0001)。CCI患者预期死亡率更高(%对32%,p = 0.003),但观察到的死亡率相似(32%对 / 5%,p = 0.59)。进展为CCI的独立预测因素为入院时的ARDS、APACHE II评分和麦凯布评分(比值比(OR)分别为2.26,p < 0.001;OR 1.03,p < 0.01;OR 0.34,p < 0.0001)。机械通气时间、ICU住院时间和住院时间分别为33(24至50)天、39(29至55)天和55(37至84)天。气管拔管时间为40±19天。
CCI患者是病情严重的人群,入院时ARDS、休克和MODS常见,住院期间反复出现并发症。然而,他们的预后与其他ICU患者相当。ARDS、APACHE II评分和麦凯布评分是进展为慢性状态的独立预测因素。