Cendon Sônia, Pereira Luiz A A, Braga Alfésio L F, Conceição Gleice M S, Cury Junior Abraão, Romaldini Hélio, Lopes Antônio C, Saldiva Paulo H N
Departamento de Clínica Médica, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Rev Saude Publica. 2006 Jun;40(3):414-9. doi: 10.1590/s0034-89102006000300008. Epub 2006 Jun 23.
Myocardial infarction is an acute and severe cardiovascular disease that generally leads to patient admissions to intensive care units and few cases are initially admitted to infirmaries. The objective of the study was to assess whether estimates of air pollution effects on myocardial infarction morbidity are modified by the source of health information.
The study was carried out in hospitals of the Brazilian Health System in the city of São Paulo, Southern Brazil. A time series study (1998-1999) was performed using two outcomes: infarction admissions to infirmaries and to intensive care units, both for people older than 64 years of age. Generalized linear models controlling for seasonality (long and short-term trends) and weather were used. The eight-day cumulative effects of air pollutants were assessed using third degree polynomial distributed lag models.
Almost 70% of daily hospital admissions due to myocardial infarction were to infirmaries. Despite that, the effects of air pollutants on infarction were higher for intensive care units admissions. All pollutants were positively associated with the study outcomes but SO2 presented the strongest statistically significant association. An interquartile range increase on SO2 concentration was associated with increases of 13% (95% CI: 6-19) and 8% (95% CI: 2-13) of intensive care units and infirmary infarction admissions, respectively.
It may be assumed there is a misclassification of myocardial infarction admissions to infirmaries leading to overestimation. Also, despite the absolute number of events, admissions to intensive care units data provides a more adequate estimate of the magnitude of air pollution effects on infarction admissions.
心肌梗死是一种急性重症心血管疾病,通常会导致患者入住重症监护病房,很少有病例最初被收治于医务室。本研究的目的是评估健康信息来源是否会改变空气污染对心肌梗死发病率影响的估计。
该研究在巴西南部圣保罗市的巴西卫生系统医院中开展。进行了一项时间序列研究(1998 - 1999年),使用了两个结局指标:64岁以上人群入住医务室和重症监护病房的梗死病例数。采用了控制季节性(长期和短期趋势)及天气因素的广义线性模型。使用三次多项式分布滞后模型评估空气污染物的八天累积效应。
因心肌梗死导致的每日住院病例中,近70%被收治于医务室。尽管如此,空气污染物对重症监护病房收治的梗死病例的影响更大。所有污染物均与研究结局呈正相关,但二氧化硫呈现出最强的统计学显著关联。二氧化硫浓度每增加一个四分位间距,分别与重症监护病房和医务室梗死病例收治数增加13%(95%置信区间:6 - 19)和8%(95%置信区间:2 - 13)相关。
可以假定存在对收治于医务室的心肌梗死病例的错误分类,导致高估。此外,尽管事件的绝对数量如此,但重症监护病房收治数据能更充分地估计空气污染对梗死病例收治影响的程度。