Mishra Vinod, Vaessen Martin, Boerma J Ties, Arnold Fred, Way Ann, Barrere Bernard, Cross Anne, Hong Rathavuth, Sangha Jasbir
Demographic and Health Research Division, ORC Macro, Calverton, MD 20705, USA.
Bull World Health Organ. 2006 Jul;84(7):537-45. doi: 10.2471/blt.05.029520.
To describe the methods used in the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) to collect nationally representative data on the prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and assess the value of such data to country HIV surveillance systems.
During 2001-04, national samples of adult women and men in Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Dominican Republic, Ghana, Mali, Kenya, United Republic of Tanzania and Zambia were tested for HIV. Dried blood spot samples were collected for HIV testing, following internationally accepted ethical standards. The results for each country are presented by age, sex, and urban versus rural residence. To estimate the effects of non-response, HIV prevalence among non-responding males and females was predicted using multivariate statistical models for those who were tested, with a common set of predictor variables.
Rates of HIV testing varied from 70% among Kenyan men to 92% among women in Burkina Faso and Cameroon. Despite large differences in HIV prevalence between the surveys (1-16%), fairly consistent patterns of HIV infection were observed by age, sex and urban versus rural residence, with considerably higher rates in urban areas and in women, especially at younger ages. Analysis of non-response bias indicates that although predicted HIV prevalence tended to be higher in non-tested males and females than in those tested, the overall effects of non-response on the observed national estimates of HIV prevalence are insignificant.
Population-based surveys can provide reliable, direct estimates of national and regional HIV seroprevalence among men and women irrespective of pregnancy status. Survey data greatly enhance surveillance systems and the accuracy of national estimates in generalized epidemics.
描述人口与健康调查(DHS)中用于收集全国具有代表性的人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)流行率数据的方法,并评估此类数据对国家HIV监测系统的价值。
在2001年至2004年期间,对布基纳法索、喀麦隆、多米尼加共和国、加纳、马里、肯尼亚、坦桑尼亚联合共和国和赞比亚的成年男女全国样本进行了HIV检测。按照国际认可的伦理标准采集干血斑样本进行HIV检测。每个国家的结果按年龄、性别以及城市与农村居住地进行呈现。为了估计无应答的影响,使用针对接受检测者的多变量统计模型,通过一组共同的预测变量来预测无应答的男性和女性中的HIV流行率。
HIV检测率从肯尼亚男性中的70%到布基纳法索和喀麦隆女性中的92%不等。尽管各次调查之间的HIV流行率存在很大差异(1%至16%),但在年龄、性别以及城市与农村居住地方面观察到了相当一致的HIV感染模式,城市地区和女性中的感染率明显更高,尤其是在较年轻年龄段。无应答偏差分析表明,尽管预测的未检测男性和女性中的HIV流行率往往高于接受检测者,但无应答对观察到的全国HIV流行率估计值的总体影响微不足道。
基于人群的调查能够提供关于全国和地区男女HIV血清流行率的可靠、直接估计值,无论其妊娠状态如何。调查数据极大地增强了监测系统以及在广泛流行情况下国家估计值的准确性。