Due Anne K, Johansen Helle K, Gøtzsche Peter C
Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet, Dept, 7112, Blegdamsvej 9, DK-2100 København Ø, Denmark.
BMC Med Res Methodol. 2006 Aug 14;6:40. doi: 10.1186/1471-2288-6-40.
Disease specific mortality is often used as outcome rather than total mortality in clinical trials. This approach assumes that the classification of cause of death is unbiased. We explored whether use of fungal infection-related mortality as outcome rather than total mortality leads to bias in trials of antifungal agents in cancer patients.
As an estimate of bias we used relative risk of death in those patients the authors considered had not died from fungal infection. Our sample consisted of 69 trials included in four systematic reviews of prophylactic or empirical antifungal treatment in patients with cancer and neutropenia we have published previously.
Thirty trials met the inclusion criteria. The trials comprised 6130 patients and 869 deaths, 220 (25%) of which were ascribed to fungal infection. The relative risk of death was 0.85 (95% CI 0.75-0.96) for total mortality, 0.57 (95% CI 0.44-0.74) for fungal mortality, and 0.95 (95% CI 0.82-1.09) for mortality among those who did not die from fungal infection.
We could not support the hypothesis that use of disease specific mortality introduces bias in antifungal trials on cancer patients as our estimate of the relative risk for mortality in those who survived the fungal infection was not increased. We conclude that it seems to be reliable to use fungal mortality as the primary outcome in trials of antifungal agents. Data on total mortality should be reported as well, however, to guard against the possible introduction of harmful treatments.
在临床试验中,疾病特异性死亡率常被用作研究结果而非总死亡率。这种方法假定死亡原因的分类是无偏倚的。我们探讨了在癌症患者抗真菌药物试验中,以真菌感染相关死亡率而非总死亡率作为研究结果是否会导致偏倚。
作为偏倚的一种估计,我们使用了作者认为并非死于真菌感染的患者的相对死亡风险。我们的样本包括我们之前发表的四项关于癌症和中性粒细胞减少患者预防性或经验性抗真菌治疗的系统评价中纳入的69项试验。
30项试验符合纳入标准。这些试验共纳入6130例患者,其中869例死亡,220例(25%)归因于真菌感染。总死亡率的相对风险为0.85(95%可信区间0.75 - 0.96),真菌相关死亡率为0.57(95%可信区间0.44 - 0.74),非真菌感染导致死亡者的死亡率为0.95(95%可信区间0.82 - 1.09)。
我们无法支持这样的假设,即使用疾病特异性死亡率会在癌症患者抗真菌试验中引入偏倚,因为我们对真菌感染幸存者死亡率相对风险的估计并未增加。我们得出结论,在抗真菌药物试验中使用真菌相关死亡率作为主要研究结果似乎是可靠的。然而,也应报告总死亡率数据,以防止可能引入有害治疗方法。