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固体废物处理设施的近似成本函数。

Approximate cost functions for solid waste treatment facilities.

作者信息

Tsilemou Konstantinia, Panagiotakopoulos Demetrios

机构信息

Laboratory of Project Management, Department of Civil Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, Xanthi, Greece.

出版信息

Waste Manag Res. 2006 Aug;24(4):310-22. doi: 10.1177/0734242X06066343.

Abstract

Cost estimation is a basic requirement for planning municipal solid waste management systems. The variety of organizational, financial and management schemes and the continuously developing technological advancements render the economic analysis a complex task, made more complex by the scarcity of real cost data. The objectives of this paper were: (1) to explore the problems arising in getting cost estimates from scattered and limited published data; (2) to suggest a procedure for generating cost functions relating initial set-up cost and operating cost with facility size; and (3) to present such cost functions, relevant to European states, for selected types of solid waste treatment and disposal facilities. Regarding the problems of available scarce data, one needs to deal with cost figures which correspond to facilities with variations in size, technology, year of construction, working conditions, level of technological automation, environmental impacts, social acceptance, capacity utilization rate, composition of inflowing waste, waste management policies, degree of compliance with quality standards, etc. The paper addresses this issue and discusses the proper use of statistical analyses in such cases of fragmented data; moreover, it points out some usual misuses of statistics by analysts and the danger of getting erroneous results. The suggested process for generating cost functions acceptable to the decision-makers is pivoted around the question of acceptable approximation level. Finally, approximate cost curves are suggested for waste-to-energy facilities, landfilling facilities, anaerobic digestion facilities and composting facilities.

摘要

成本估算是规划城市固体废物管理系统的一项基本要求。组织、财务和管理方案的多样性以及不断发展的技术进步使得经济分析成为一项复杂的任务,而实际成本数据的稀缺性更是加剧了这一复杂性。本文的目标是:(1)探讨从零散且有限的已发表数据中获取成本估算时出现的问题;(2)提出一种生成成本函数的程序,该函数将初始设置成本和运营成本与设施规模相关联;(3)针对选定类型的固体废物处理和处置设施,给出与欧洲国家相关的此类成本函数。关于可用数据稀缺的问题,人们需要处理与设施相关的成本数据,这些设施在规模、技术、建设年份、工作条件、技术自动化水平、环境影响、社会接受度、产能利用率、流入废物的成分、废物管理政策、符合质量标准的程度等方面存在差异。本文探讨了这一问题,并讨论了在数据零散的情况下如何正确使用统计分析;此外,还指出了分析师在统计方面一些常见的误用情况以及得出错误结果的风险。建议的生成决策者可接受的成本函数的过程围绕可接受的近似水平问题展开。最后,给出了垃圾焚烧发电设施、填埋设施、厌氧消化设施和堆肥设施的近似成本曲线。

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