Optenberg S A, Thompson I M
United States Army Health Care Studies and Clinical Investigation Activity, Ft. Sam Houston, Texas.
Urol Clin North Am. 1990 Nov;17(4):719-37.
The proposition of whether to adopt a system of mass screening for carcinoma of the prostate in the U.S. is well suited to the clinical decision analysis approach. The authors demonstrate this by using available data, which suggest that offering a screening program to all men ages 50 to 70 would be prohibitively expensive. The method also permits calculation of the eventual morbidity of screening and its costs. This analysis demonstrates the importance of attempting to predict ultimate patient outcomes before implementing any health care strategy as standard.
在美国,关于是否采用前列腺癌大规模筛查系统的提议非常适合临床决策分析方法。作者通过使用现有数据证明了这一点,这些数据表明,为所有50至70岁的男性提供筛查计划成本过高。该方法还允许计算筛查的最终发病率及其成本。这一分析表明,在将任何医疗保健策略作为标准实施之前,尝试预测最终患者结果的重要性。