Wilson R Jean, Meckle Wayne, Wiggins Sandi, Cooper Peter J
Road Safety Research, Insurance Corporation of British Columbia, PO Box 3750, Victoria BC, Canada V8W 3Y8.
J Safety Res. 2006;37(4):325-32. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2006.05.002. Epub 2006 Sep 25.
Parents are an important potential influence on the driving safety of their children. This study examined the relationship of parental driving record on male and female offspring's at-fault collision risk.
Drivers aged 16-21 on the date of full licensure were selected from driver records and a matching process was used to identify putative parents in two-parent households. Poisson regression models were developed to predict at-fault collisions of male and female youth in the three years following full licensure from parents' at-fault collisions, speeding offenses, and other moving offenses in the four years prior to children's licensure. One set of models examined the relative risk associated with increasing numbers of maternal and paternal at-fault collisions and offenses. Other models examined the joint versus separate maternal and parental contributions.
Controlling for region of residence, both mothers' and fathers' at-fault collisions were associated with an increased risk in both male and female youth at-fault collisions. Mothers' and fathers' speeding offenses were also associated with increased relative risk of at-fault collisions for both sons and daughters, while fathers' other moving offenses increased collision risk for sons but not daughters.
Further research is required to identify how parental driving risk is transmitted to children.
(a) Parents of young children should be informed of their role in influencing their children's future driving risk; (b) The results identify risk factors that could be of interest to licensing authorities and the insurance industry.
父母是对其子女驾驶安全具有重要潜在影响的因素。本研究考察了父母的驾驶记录与子女（无论男女）过失碰撞风险之间的关系。
从驾驶记录中选取在完全获得驾照当日年龄为16至21岁的驾驶员，并采用匹配程序来识别双亲家庭中的推定父母。构建泊松回归模型，以根据父母在子女获得驾照前四年内的过失碰撞、超速违规及其他移动违规情况，预测男女青年在完全获得驾照后的三年内发生的过失碰撞。一组模型考察了与母亲和父亲过失碰撞及违规数量增加相关的相对风险。其他模型考察了母亲和父亲共同及分别产生的影响。
在控制居住地区的情况下，母亲和父亲的过失碰撞均与男女青年过失碰撞风险增加有关。母亲和父亲的超速违规也与子女过失碰撞的相对风险增加有关，而父亲的其他移动违规增加了儿子的碰撞风险，但对女儿没有影响。
需要进一步研究以确定父母的驾驶风险是如何传递给子女的。
(a) 应告知幼儿父母他们在影响子女未来驾驶风险方面所起的作用；(b) 研究结果确定了可能会引起驾照颁发机构和保险业兴趣的风险因素。
