Hodgson Susan, Nieuwenhuijsen Mark J, Elliott Paul, Jarup Lars
Small Area Health Statistics Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Am J Epidemiol. 2007 Jan 1;165(1):72-7. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwj345. Epub 2006 Oct 26.
Runcorn, North West England, has been a site of industrial activity for over 100 years. Preliminary investigations have revealed excess risk of renal mortality in the population living closest to several sources of pollution. Exposure to airborne mercury has been highlighted as a possible cause, although there is also concomitant exposure to solvents and other heavy metals in this population. The authors used validated air dispersion modeling to identify mercury-exposed populations. Standardized mortality ratios for kidney disease were computed using the North West government region as the reference. There was a significant exposure-response relation between modeled estimates of mercury exposure and risk of kidney disease mortality (test for trend: p = 0.02 for men and p = 0.03 for women), and this relation was more pronounced for estimated historical exposure (test for trend: p = 0.01 for men and p < 0.001 for women). These findings suggest that exposure to mercury is a possible cause of the excess kidney disease mortality in this population, indicating that there might still be a health legacy of the historically high levels of industrial activity in the Runcorn area.
英国西北部的朗科恩作为工业活动场所已有100多年历史。初步调查显示,居住在离几个污染源最近的人群中,肾脏疾病导致的死亡率过高。空气中汞暴露被认为是一个可能原因,尽管该人群还同时接触溶剂和其他重金属。作者使用经过验证的空气扩散模型来确定汞暴露人群。以英国西北部政府区域为参照,计算出肾脏疾病的标准化死亡比。汞暴露的模型估计值与肾脏疾病死亡风险之间存在显著的暴露-反应关系(趋势检验:男性p = 0.02,女性p = 0.03),这种关系在估计的历史暴露中更为明显(趋势检验:男性p = 0.01,女性p < 0.001)。这些发现表明,汞暴露可能是该人群肾脏疾病死亡率过高的一个原因,这表明朗科恩地区过去高水平的工业活动可能仍对健康有遗留影响。