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[1981年至2001年白俄罗斯共和国的酒精销售与肺结核死亡率]

[Alcohol sales and pulmonary tuberculosis mortality in the Republic of Belarus in 1981 to 2001].

作者信息

Razvodovskiĭ Iu E

出版信息

Probl Tuberk Bolezn Legk. 2006(9):27-31.

Abstract

The fact that there is an association of alcohol abuse with pulmonary tuberculosis is well documented. The effect of alcohol sales per capita on tuberculosis mortality rates is considerably less known. The aim of the study was to evaluate the beverage-specific effect of alcohol on pulmonary tuberculosis mortality rates. Trends in pulmonary tuberculosis mortality rates in Belarus from 1981 to 2001 were analyzed in relation to those in the level of sales of various alcoholic beverages per capita, by applying the time series analysis. The analysis demonstrated a positive and statistically significant effect of changes in per capita alcohol sale levels on pulmonary tuberculosis mortality rates. It suggests that a 1% increase in alcohol sales per capita might cause 0.49 and 0.36% increases in pulmonary tuberculosis mortality rates in males and females, respectively. This study also indicates that tuberculosis prevention programs should place more emphasis on alcohol problems.

摘要

酗酒与肺结核之间存在关联这一事实有充分的文献记载。人均酒精销售量对肺结核死亡率的影响则鲜为人知。本研究的目的是评估酒精对肺结核死亡率的饮料种类特异性影响。通过应用时间序列分析,分析了1981年至2001年白俄罗斯肺结核死亡率的趋势与各类酒精饮料人均销售量水平的趋势之间的关系。分析表明人均酒精销售水平的变化对肺结核死亡率有积极且具有统计学意义的影响。这表明人均酒精销售量增加1%可能分别导致男性和女性肺结核死亡率增加0.49%和0.36%。这项研究还表明,结核病预防计划应更加重视酒精问题。

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