药学院入学考试的预测效度研究。
A predictive validity study of the Pharmacy College Admission Test.
作者信息
Meagher Donald G, Lin Anli, Stellato Christina P
机构信息
Harcourt Assessment, Inc, San Antonio, Texas 78259, USA.
出版信息
Am J Pharm Educ. 2006 Jun 15;70(3):53. doi: 10.5688/aj700353.
OBJECTIVE
To examine the validity of Pharmacy College Admission Test (PCAT) scores for predicting grade point averages (GPAs) of students in years 1-4 of pharmacy programs.
METHODS
Data were collected from 11 colleges and schools of pharmacy: entering cumulative and math/science GPAs, PCAT scaled scores, pharmacy program GPAs for years 1-4, student status after 4 years. Correlation, regression, discriminant, and diagnostic accuracy analyses were used to determine the validity of the PCAT for predicting subsequent GPAs.
RESULTS
PCAT scaled scores and entering GPAs were positively correlated with subsequent GPAs. Regression analyses showed the predictive value of the PCAT scores, especially in combination with entering GPAs. Discriminant and diagnostic accuracy analyses supported these findings and provided practical suggestions regarding optimal PCAT scores for identifying students most likely to succeed.
CONCLUSION
Both PCAT scaled scores and entering cumulative GPAs showed moderate to strong predictive validity as indicators of candidates likely to succeed in pharmacy school.
目的
检验药学院入学考试（PCAT）成绩对预测药学专业1至4年级学生平均绩点（GPA）的有效性。
方法
从11所药学院收集数据：入学时的累积平均绩点和数学/科学平均绩点、PCAT标准分数、1至4年级的药学专业平均绩点、4年后的学生状态。采用相关性分析、回归分析、判别分析和诊断准确性分析来确定PCAT成绩对预测后续平均绩点的有效性。
结果
PCAT标准分数和入学平均绩点与后续平均绩点呈正相关。回归分析显示了PCAT成绩的预测价值，尤其是与入学平均绩点相结合时。判别分析和诊断准确性分析支持了这些发现，并就识别最有可能成功的学生的最佳PCAT分数提供了实用建议。
结论
PCAT标准分数和入学时的累积平均绩点作为预测有可能在药学院取得成功的考生的指标，均显示出中等至较强的预测效度。
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