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鸟瞰:利用地理分析评估西尼罗河病毒监测中鸦科指标的代表性。

A bird's eye view: using geographic analysis to evaluate the representativeness of corvid indicators for West Nile virus surveillance.

作者信息

David Samara T, Mak Sunny, MacDougall Laura, Fyfe Murray

机构信息

Canadian Field Epidemiology Program, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Canada.

出版信息

Int J Health Geogr. 2007 Jan 30;6:3. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-6-3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The objective of this evaluation was to determine whether reports of dead corvid sightings and submissions of dead corvids for West Nile virus testing were representative of true corvid mortality in British Columbia in 2004, a year with no West Nile virus activity, in order to ensure the system was accurately describing corvid mortality rather than reflecting regional differences in surveillance methods.

RESULTS

Local Health Areas reported 0-159 (median = 3) dead corvid sightings and 0-209 (median = 5) submissions for West Nile virus testing. The expected numbers of dead corvid sightings and submissions for testing from each Local Health Area were 0-232 (median = 3) and 0-258 (median = 4), respectively. Twelve Local Health Areas reported significantly fewer sightings than expected; 21 reported significantly more. Eleven Local Health Areas submitted significantly fewer corvids than expected; 26 submitted significantly more.

CONCLUSION

Some Local Health Areas were over-represented and others under-represented in terms of corvid West Nile virus surveillance indicators. Recommendations were made to improve the representativeness of corvid surveillance data. Geographic analysis can be used to evaluate the representativeness of surveillance systems and result in improvements to surveillance.

摘要

背景

本次评估的目的是确定2004年不列颠哥伦比亚省关于鸦科鸟类死亡目击报告以及提交死亡鸦科鸟类进行西尼罗河病毒检测的情况是否代表了真实的鸦科鸟类死亡率。2004年该地区没有西尼罗河病毒活动,以此确保该系统能够准确描述鸦科鸟类死亡率,而非反映监测方法上的地区差异。

结果

各地方卫生区报告的鸦科鸟类死亡目击数量为0至159起(中位数 = 3),提交进行西尼罗河病毒检测的数量为0至209起(中位数 = 5)。每个地方卫生区预期的鸦科鸟类死亡目击数量和提交检测的数量分别为0至232起(中位数 = 3)和0至258起(中位数 = 4)。12个地方卫生区报告的目击数量显著低于预期;21个报告的数量显著高于预期。11个地方卫生区提交检测的鸦科鸟类数量显著低于预期;26个提交的数量显著高于预期。

结论

在鸦科鸟类西尼罗河病毒监测指标方面,一些地方卫生区的代表性过高,而另一些则过低。已提出改进建议以提高鸦科鸟类监测数据的代表性。地理分析可用于评估监测系统的代表性并改进监测工作。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d599/1796857/68c3b814830d/1476-072X-6-3-1.jpg

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