Bor Jacob
Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Soc Sci Med. 2007 Apr;64(8):1585-99. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2006.12.005. Epub 2007 Feb 5.
The commitment of high-level government leaders is widely recognized as a key factor in curbing national AIDS epidemics. But where does such leadership come from? This paper presents a quantitative analysis of the determinants of AIDS leadership in 54 developing countries, using the 2003 AIDS Program Effort Index "political support" score as an indicator of political commitment. Explanatory variables include measures of political institutions as well as economic development and integration. Models developed in the analysis explain over half of the variation in commitment across the countries in the sample. In particular, press freedoms, income equality, and HIV prevalence stand out as determinants of political commitment.
政府高层领导人的承诺被广泛认为是遏制国家艾滋病流行的关键因素。但这种领导力源自何处呢?本文对54个发展中国家艾滋病领导力的决定因素进行了定量分析,使用2003年艾滋病项目努力指数的“政治支持”得分作为政治承诺的指标。解释变量包括政治制度以及经济发展和一体化的衡量指标。分析中建立的模型解释了样本中各国承诺差异的一半以上。特别是,新闻自由、收入平等和艾滋病毒流行率是政治承诺的突出决定因素。