Mokart Djamel, Sannini Antoine, Brun Jean-Paul, Faucher Marion, Blaise Didier, Blache Jean-Louis, Faucher Catherine
Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Unit, Paoli-Calmette Institute, 232 bd Sainte Marguerite, 13273 Marseille Cedex 9, France.
Crit Care. 2007;11(2):R37. doi: 10.1186/cc5721.
The overall prognosis of critically ill patients with cancer has improved during the past decade. The aim of this study was to identify early prognostic factors of intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in patients with cancer.
We designed a prospective, consecutive, observational study over a one-year period. Fifty-one cancer patients with septic shock were enrolled.
The ICU mortality rate was 51% (26 deaths). Among the 45 patients who benefited from transthoracic echocardiography evaluation, 17 showed right ventricular dysfunction, 18 showed left ventricular diastolic dysfunction, 18 showed left ventricular systolic dysfunction, and 11 did not show any cardiac dysfunction. During the first three days of ICU course, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels were significantly higher in patients presenting cardiac dysfunctions compared to patients without any cardiac dysfunction. Multivariate analysis discriminated early prognostic factors (within the first 24 hours after the septic shock diagnosis). ICU mortality was independently associated with NT-proBNP levels at day 2 (odds ratio, 1.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.004 to 1.32; p = 0.022). An NT-proBNP level of more than 6,624 pg/ml predicted ICU mortality with a sensitivity of 86%, a specificity of 77%, a positive predictive value of 79%, a negative predictive value of 85%, and an accuracy of 81%.
We observed that critically ill cancer patients with septic shock have an approximately 50% chance of survival to ICU discharge. NT-proBNP was independently associated with ICU mortality within the first 24 hours. NT-proBNP could be a useful tool for detecting high-risk cancer patients within the first 24 hours after septic shock diagnosis.
在过去十年中,重症癌症患者的总体预后有所改善。本研究的目的是确定癌症患者重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率的早期预后因素。
我们设计了一项为期一年的前瞻性、连续性观察研究。纳入了51例患有感染性休克的癌症患者。
ICU死亡率为51%(26例死亡)。在45例接受经胸超声心动图评估的患者中,17例显示右心室功能障碍,18例显示左心室舒张功能障碍,18例显示左心室收缩功能障碍,11例未显示任何心脏功能障碍。在ICU病程的前三天,出现心脏功能障碍的患者与未出现任何心脏功能障碍的患者相比,N末端脑钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)水平显著更高。多因素分析鉴别出早期预后因素(在感染性休克诊断后的24小时内)。ICU死亡率与第2天的NT-proBNP水平独立相关(比值比,1.2;95%置信区间,1.004至1.32;p = 0.022)。NT-proBNP水平超过6624 pg/ml预测ICU死亡率的敏感度为86%,特异度为77%,阳性预测值为79%,阴性预测值为85%,准确度为81%。
我们观察到,患有感染性休克的重症癌症患者有大约50%的机会存活至ICU出院。NT-proBNP在最初24小时内与ICU死亡率独立相关。NT-proBNP可能是在感染性休克诊断后24小时内检测高危癌症患者的有用工具。