Fairlie Ian
Med Confl Surviv. 2007 Jan-Mar;23(1):10-30. doi: 10.1080/13623690601084526.
This article discusses the dispersal, deposition and collective doses of the radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl accident. It explains that, although Belarus, Ukraine and Russia were heavily contaminated by the Chernobyl fallout, more than half of the fallout was deposited outside these countries, particularly in Western Europe. Indeed, about 40 per cent of the surface area of Europe was contaminated. Collective doses are predicted to result in 30,000 to 60,000 excess cancer deaths throughout the northern hemisphere, mostly in western Europe. The article also estimates that the caesium-137 source term was about a third higher than official figures.
本文讨论了切尔诺贝利事故放射性沉降物的扩散、沉降及集体剂量。文章解释称,尽管白俄罗斯、乌克兰和俄罗斯受到切尔诺贝利沉降物的严重污染,但超过一半的沉降物落在了这些国家之外,特别是在西欧。事实上,欧洲约40%的表面积受到了污染。预计集体剂量将导致北半球3万至6万例额外癌症死亡,其中大部分发生在西欧。文章还估计,铯-137源项比官方数字高出约三分之一。